**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a daily minimum temperature in the upper 70s for Dallas on September 18, 2026, amid a persistent warm, dry air mass with southerly flow and mostly clear skies.** This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Overnight radiative cooling under clear conditions will be limited by the warm baseline and dew points near 65–70°F, while light winds reduce mixing. Historical September averages near 69°F highlight the current anomaly driven by the ongoing heat pattern, with no significant frontal passage expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Minor model differences in cloud cover or wind timing create the narrow spread between the top bins, underscoring typical forecast uncertainty in minimum temperature verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日達拉斯的最低溫度？
9月18日達拉斯的最低溫度？
84-85°F 38%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 22%
76-77°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
71°F或以下
5%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
7%
華氏90度或以上
4%
84-85°F 38%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 22%
76-77°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
71°F或以下
$0 交易量
5%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
5%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
7%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
11%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
24%
80-81°F
$25 交易量
27%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
22%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
38%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
11%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
7%
華氏90度或以上
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a daily minimum temperature in the upper 70s for Dallas on September 18, 2026, amid a persistent warm, dry air mass with southerly flow and mostly clear skies.**
This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Overnight radiative cooling under clear conditions will be limited by the warm baseline and dew points near 65–70°F, while light winds reduce mixing. Historical September averages near 69°F highlight the current anomaly driven by the ongoing heat pattern, with no significant frontal passage expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Minor model differences in cloud cover or wind timing create the narrow spread between the top bins, underscoring typical forecast uncertainty in minimum temperature verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a daily minimum temperature in the upper 70s for Dallas on September 18, 2026, amid a persistent warm, dry air mass with southerly flow and mostly clear skies.**
This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Overnight radiative cooling under clear conditions will be limited by the warm baseline and dew points near 65–70°F, while light winds reduce mixing. Historical September averages near 69°F highlight the current anomaly driven by the ongoing heat pattern, with no significant frontal passage expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Minor model differences in cloud cover or wind timing create the narrow spread between the top bins, underscoring typical forecast uncertainty in minimum temperature verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a daily minimum temperature in the upper 70s for Dallas on September 18, 2026, amid a persistent warm, dry air mass with southerly flow and mostly clear skies.** This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Overnight radiative cooling under clear conditions will be limited by the warm baseline and dew points near 65–70°F, while light winds reduce mixing. Historical September averages near 69°F highlight the current anomaly driven by the ongoing heat pattern, with no significant frontal passage expected to alter the trajectory before resolution. Minor model differences in cloud cover or wind timing create the narrow spread between the top bins, underscoring typical forecast uncertainty in minimum temperature verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions