Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 71–74°F for Chicago on September 13, driven by a post-frontal northerly wind shift that limits daytime heating after Saturday’s mid-80s warmth. Afternoon cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers further cap temperatures by reducing insolation, consistent with climatological patterns for early-September cold fronts. Traders assign the highest implied probability to the 74–75°F bin, reflecting minor spread among guidance that shows slight warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected or if the front lingers south of the metro. The 72–73°F range trails closely, underscoring uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next data release from the 12Z model suite. Historical September 13 highs average 77°F, so current cooler steering patterns represent a meaningful departure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日芝加哥的最高溫度？
9月13日芝加哥的最高溫度？
74-75°F 37%
72-73°F 33%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
華氏86度或以上
<1%
74-75°F 37%
72-73°F 33%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
67°F或以下
$132 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$183 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$722 交易量
14%
72-73°F
$578 交易量
33%
74-75°F
$1,479 交易量
37%
76-77°F
$443 交易量
12%
78-79°F
$283 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$74 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$146 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$125 交易量
<1%
華氏86度或以上
$213 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 71–74°F for Chicago on September 13, driven by a post-frontal northerly wind shift that limits daytime heating after Saturday’s mid-80s warmth. Afternoon cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers further cap temperatures by reducing insolation, consistent with climatological patterns for early-September cold fronts. Traders assign the highest implied probability to the 74–75°F bin, reflecting minor spread among guidance that shows slight warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected or if the front lingers south of the metro. The 72–73°F range trails closely, underscoring uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next data release from the 12Z model suite. Historical September 13 highs average 77°F, so current cooler steering patterns represent a meaningful departure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,379結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 71–74°F for Chicago on September 13, driven by a post-frontal northerly wind shift that limits daytime heating after Saturday’s mid-80s warmth. Afternoon cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers further cap temperatures by reducing insolation, consistent with climatological patterns for early-September cold fronts. Traders assign the highest implied probability to the 74–75°F bin, reflecting minor spread among guidance that shows slight warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected or if the front lingers south of the metro. The 72–73°F range trails closely, underscoring uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next data release from the 12Z model suite. Historical September 13 highs average 77°F, so current cooler steering patterns represent a meaningful departure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,379結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a high near 71–74°F for Chicago on September 13, driven by a post-frontal northerly wind shift that limits daytime heating after Saturday’s mid-80s warmth. Afternoon cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers further cap temperatures by reducing insolation, consistent with climatological patterns for early-September cold fronts. Traders assign the highest implied probability to the 74–75°F bin, reflecting minor spread among guidance that shows slight warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected or if the front lingers south of the metro. The 72–73°F range trails closely, underscoring uncertainty in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next data release from the 12Z model suite. Historical September 13 highs average 77°F, so current cooler steering patterns represent a meaningful departure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions