Official weather observations for Shenzhen on September 12, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 34°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and scattered showers, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Multiple forecast models converged on this peak after accounting for regional humidity levels near 80% and minimal cloud cover during midday hours, consistent with typical early-September subtropical patterns where highs often reach 31–34°C. Trader consensus reflects these verified station readings and short-range model agreement rather than longer-term projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary monitoring networks or confirmation that an alternate station captured a meaningfully lower maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日深圳最高溫度？
9月12日深圳最高溫度？
34°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$55,099 交易量
$55,099 交易量
2026-09-12
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C或以上
否
34°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$55,099 交易量
$55,099 交易量
2026-09-12
27°C或以下
$5,412 交易量
否
28°C
$2,000 交易量
否
29°C
$2,888 交易量
否
30°C
$2,595 交易量
否
31°C
$13,750 交易量
否
32°C
$5,727 交易量
否
33°C
$6,376 交易量
否
34°C
$10,006 交易量
是
35°C
$3,964 交易量
否
36°C
$1,275 交易量
否
37°C或以上
$1,106 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official weather observations for Shenzhen on September 12, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 34°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and scattered showers, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Multiple forecast models converged on this peak after accounting for regional humidity levels near 80% and minimal cloud cover during midday hours, consistent with typical early-September subtropical patterns where highs often reach 31–34°C. Trader consensus reflects these verified station readings and short-range model agreement rather than longer-term projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary monitoring networks or confirmation that an alternate station captured a meaningfully lower maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$55,099結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official weather observations for Shenzhen on September 12, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 34°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and scattered showers, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Multiple forecast models converged on this peak after accounting for regional humidity levels near 80% and minimal cloud cover during midday hours, consistent with typical early-September subtropical patterns where highs often reach 31–34°C. Trader consensus reflects these verified station readings and short-range model agreement rather than longer-term projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary monitoring networks or confirmation that an alternate station captured a meaningfully lower maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55,099結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official weather observations for Shenzhen on September 12, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 34°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and scattered showers, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Multiple forecast models converged on this peak after accounting for regional humidity levels near 80% and minimal cloud cover during midday hours, consistent with typical early-September subtropical patterns where highs often reach 31–34°C. Trader consensus reflects these verified station readings and short-range model agreement rather than longer-term projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from primary monitoring networks or confirmation that an alternate station captured a meaningfully lower maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions