**Warm subtropical conditions and limited nocturnal cooling are positioning higher minimum temperatures as the market's leading outcomes for Shenzhen on September 14.** Forecasts from multiple models indicate a partly cloudy night with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly or northeasterly winds, keeping dew points near 24–25°C and humidity above 80–90%. This combination restricts radiative heat loss, supporting overnight lows typically in the 23–26°C range rather than sharp drops. Recent stability in regional pressure patterns and absence of strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences have reinforced trader consensus around these warmer thresholds, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow historical variability for mid-September nights in the area. Updated model runs and any overnight observations from local stations will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日深圳最低溫度？
9月14日深圳最低溫度？
22°C 40%
24°C 25%
25°C 22%
27°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
40%
23°C
21%
24°C
25%
25°C
22%
26°C
20%
27°C
22%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
1%
22°C 40%
24°C 25%
25°C 22%
27°C 22%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$0 交易量
40%
23°C
$0 交易量
21%
24°C
$0 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C
$44 交易量
20%
27°C
$5 交易量
22%
28°C
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$110 交易量
<1%
30°C
$0 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Warm subtropical conditions and limited nocturnal cooling are positioning higher minimum temperatures as the market's leading outcomes for Shenzhen on September 14.** Forecasts from multiple models indicate a partly cloudy night with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly or northeasterly winds, keeping dew points near 24–25°C and humidity above 80–90%. This combination restricts radiative heat loss, supporting overnight lows typically in the 23–26°C range rather than sharp drops. Recent stability in regional pressure patterns and absence of strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences have reinforced trader consensus around these warmer thresholds, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow historical variability for mid-September nights in the area. Updated model runs and any overnight observations from local stations will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$159結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Warm subtropical conditions and limited nocturnal cooling are positioning higher minimum temperatures as the market's leading outcomes for Shenzhen on September 14.** Forecasts from multiple models indicate a partly cloudy night with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly or northeasterly winds, keeping dew points near 24–25°C and humidity above 80–90%. This combination restricts radiative heat loss, supporting overnight lows typically in the 23–26°C range rather than sharp drops. Recent stability in regional pressure patterns and absence of strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences have reinforced trader consensus around these warmer thresholds, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow historical variability for mid-September nights in the area. Updated model runs and any overnight observations from local stations will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$159結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Warm subtropical conditions and limited nocturnal cooling are positioning higher minimum temperatures as the market's leading outcomes for Shenzhen on September 14.** Forecasts from multiple models indicate a partly cloudy night with scattered thunderstorms and light easterly or northeasterly winds, keeping dew points near 24–25°C and humidity above 80–90%. This combination restricts radiative heat loss, supporting overnight lows typically in the 23–26°C range rather than sharp drops. Recent stability in regional pressure patterns and absence of strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences have reinforced trader consensus around these warmer thresholds, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow historical variability for mid-September nights in the area. Updated model runs and any overnight observations from local stations will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions