Recent weather model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions a 29°C high as the most probable outcome for Shanghai on September 14, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge, partly cloudy skies, and limited moisture. Current observations and short-range forecasts show daytime maxima stabilizing near 29–30°C amid light winds and humidity around 50–60%, with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September baselines in the region average 27–28°C, but recent clear conditions and consistent model agreement have elevated the 29°C market share while compressing probabilities for 30°C or higher. Traders will monitor the next official forecast updates and any late adjustments in steering patterns before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日上海最高溫度？
9月14日上海最高溫度？
29°C 62%
28°C 26%
30°C 9%
27°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
26%
29°C
62%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 62%
28°C 26%
30°C 9%
27°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
24°C或以下
$98 交易量
<1%
25°C
$98 交易量
1%
26°C
$57 交易量
1%
27°C
$163 交易量
4%
28°C
$405 交易量
26%
29°C
$1,247 交易量
62%
30°C
$167 交易量
9%
31°C
$134 交易量
3%
32°C
$57 交易量
<1%
33°C
$35 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$183 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions a 29°C high as the most probable outcome for Shanghai on September 14, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge, partly cloudy skies, and limited moisture. Current observations and short-range forecasts show daytime maxima stabilizing near 29–30°C amid light winds and humidity around 50–60%, with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September baselines in the region average 27–28°C, but recent clear conditions and consistent model agreement have elevated the 29°C market share while compressing probabilities for 30°C or higher. Traders will monitor the next official forecast updates and any late adjustments in steering patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,644結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions a 29°C high as the most probable outcome for Shanghai on September 14, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge, partly cloudy skies, and limited moisture. Current observations and short-range forecasts show daytime maxima stabilizing near 29–30°C amid light winds and humidity around 50–60%, with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September baselines in the region average 27–28°C, but recent clear conditions and consistent model agreement have elevated the 29°C market share while compressing probabilities for 30°C or higher. Traders will monitor the next official forecast updates and any late adjustments in steering patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,644結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent weather model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions a 29°C high as the most probable outcome for Shanghai on September 14, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge, partly cloudy skies, and limited moisture. Current observations and short-range forecasts show daytime maxima stabilizing near 29–30°C amid light winds and humidity around 50–60%, with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September baselines in the region average 27–28°C, but recent clear conditions and consistent model agreement have elevated the 29°C market share while compressing probabilities for 30°C or higher. Traders will monitor the next official forecast updates and any late adjustments in steering patterns before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions