The closely matched market-implied odds for 52–53°F and 54–55°F lows in Seattle on September 14 stem from uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at official stations such as Sea-Tac Airport. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the marine layer, which moderates nocturnal cooling over Puget Sound, versus clear-sky radiative cooling that can drop temperatures 2–4°F below model guidance. Recent atmospheric conditions, including any weak frontal passage or wind shifts, further influence whether the low registers in the lower or higher bin. Official NOAA and National Weather Service verified observations will resolve the market once quality-controlled data are released.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日西雅圖的最低溫度？
9月14日西雅圖的最低溫度？
54-55°F 99.5%
50-51°F 1.0%
52-53°F 1.0%
華氏47度或以下 <1%
$8,681 交易量
$8,681 交易量
2026-09-14
華氏47度或以下
否
48-49°F
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
是
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
華氏66度或以上
否
54-55°F 99.5%
50-51°F 1.0%
52-53°F 1.0%
華氏47度或以下 <1%
$8,681 交易量
$8,681 交易量
2026-09-14
華氏47度或以下
$91 交易量
否
48-49°F
$91 交易量
否
50-51°F
$95 交易量
否
52-53°F
$36 交易量
否
54-55°F
$6 交易量
是
56-57°F
$6,319 交易量
否
58-59°F
$0 交易量
否
60-61°F
$0 交易量
否
62-63°F
$22 交易量
否
64-65°F
$2,022 交易量
否
華氏66度或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for 52–53°F and 54–55°F lows in Seattle on September 14 stem from uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at official stations such as Sea-Tac Airport. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the marine layer, which moderates nocturnal cooling over Puget Sound, versus clear-sky radiative cooling that can drop temperatures 2–4°F below model guidance. Recent atmospheric conditions, including any weak frontal passage or wind shifts, further influence whether the low registers in the lower or higher bin. Official NOAA and National Weather Service verified observations will resolve the market once quality-controlled data are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$8,681結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds for 52–53°F and 54–55°F lows in Seattle on September 14 stem from uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at official stations such as Sea-Tac Airport. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the marine layer, which moderates nocturnal cooling over Puget Sound, versus clear-sky radiative cooling that can drop temperatures 2–4°F below model guidance. Recent atmospheric conditions, including any weak frontal passage or wind shifts, further influence whether the low registers in the lower or higher bin. Official NOAA and National Weather Service verified observations will resolve the market once quality-controlled data are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,681結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The closely matched market-implied odds for 52–53°F and 54–55°F lows in Seattle on September 14 stem from uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at official stations such as Sea-Tac Airport. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the marine layer, which moderates nocturnal cooling over Puget Sound, versus clear-sky radiative cooling that can drop temperatures 2–4°F below model guidance. Recent atmospheric conditions, including any weak frontal passage or wind shifts, further influence whether the low registers in the lower or higher bin. Official NOAA and National Weather Service verified observations will resolve the market once quality-controlled data are released.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions