Seattle's overnight low on September 16 is expected near the long-term average of 53°F under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting the leading 54-55°F market-implied outcome. Radiational cooling under high pressure and low humidity typically allows temperatures to drop several degrees below the daytime high of 71-74°F, with dew points in the low 50s limiting further decline. Model consensus from NOAA and local observations shows minimal cloud cover or onshore flow that could blunt cooling, though variable winds or residual moisture could keep readings in the upper 50s. Traders price significant probability on both warmer and cooler extremes because the exact minimum hinges on precise timing of wind shifts and boundary-layer mixing before dawn. Historical September lows cluster tightly around this range absent major synoptic changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日西雅圖的最低溫度？
9月16日西雅圖的最低溫度？
華氏64度或以上 75%
華氏45度或以下 55%
52-53°F 40%
54-55°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
華氏45度或以下
55%
46-47°F
6%
48-49°F
21%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
17%
62-63°F
17%
華氏64度或以上
75%
華氏64度或以上 75%
華氏45度或以下 55%
52-53°F 40%
54-55°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
華氏45度或以下
$100 交易量
55%
46-47°F
$225 交易量
6%
48-49°F
$236 交易量
21%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
22%
52-53°F
$9 交易量
25%
54-55°F
$22 交易量
28%
56-57°F
$112 交易量
17%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
40%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
17%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
17%
華氏64度或以上
$0 交易量
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle's overnight low on September 16 is expected near the long-term average of 53°F under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting the leading 54-55°F market-implied outcome. Radiational cooling under high pressure and low humidity typically allows temperatures to drop several degrees below the daytime high of 71-74°F, with dew points in the low 50s limiting further decline. Model consensus from NOAA and local observations shows minimal cloud cover or onshore flow that could blunt cooling, though variable winds or residual moisture could keep readings in the upper 50s. Traders price significant probability on both warmer and cooler extremes because the exact minimum hinges on precise timing of wind shifts and boundary-layer mixing before dawn. Historical September lows cluster tightly around this range absent major synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
交易量
$704結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seattle's overnight low on September 16 is expected near the long-term average of 53°F under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting the leading 54-55°F market-implied outcome. Radiational cooling under high pressure and low humidity typically allows temperatures to drop several degrees below the daytime high of 71-74°F, with dew points in the low 50s limiting further decline. Model consensus from NOAA and local observations shows minimal cloud cover or onshore flow that could blunt cooling, though variable winds or residual moisture could keep readings in the upper 50s. Traders price significant probability on both warmer and cooler extremes because the exact minimum hinges on precise timing of wind shifts and boundary-layer mixing before dawn. Historical September lows cluster tightly around this range absent major synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$704結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSeattle's overnight low on September 16 is expected near the long-term average of 53°F under clear skies and light northerly winds, supporting the leading 54-55°F market-implied outcome. Radiational cooling under high pressure and low humidity typically allows temperatures to drop several degrees below the daytime high of 71-74°F, with dew points in the low 50s limiting further decline. Model consensus from NOAA and local observations shows minimal cloud cover or onshore flow that could blunt cooling, though variable winds or residual moisture could keep readings in the upper 50s. Traders price significant probability on both warmer and cooler extremes because the exact minimum hinges on precise timing of wind shifts and boundary-layer mixing before dawn. Historical September lows cluster tightly around this range absent major synoptic changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions