Current forecast models point to a daily maximum near 25°C in Qingdao on September 18 under partly cloudy conditions transitioning to clearer skies, yet the near-even market odds between 31°C+ (50%) and ≤21°C (49%) highlight uncertainty in marine air advection and boundary-layer mixing over the Yellow Sea peninsula. Qingdao’s coastal setting typically moderates September highs to the 24–27°C climatological range through sea breezes that limit extreme warming or cooling, with southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover as key variables. Stronger onshore flow or increased insolation could push readings higher, while thicker marine stratus or enhanced mixing would favor cooler outcomes; official station data and updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日青島氣溫最高？
9月18日青島氣溫最高？
25°C 39%
30°C 39%
28°C 27%
29°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
22%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
39%
31°C或以上
21%
25°C 39%
30°C 39%
28°C 27%
29°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
22°C
$0 交易量
4%
23°C
$0 交易量
4%
24°C
$5 交易量
4%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C
$0 交易量
21%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$0 交易量
27%
29°C
$0 交易量
27%
30°C
$0 交易量
39%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a daily maximum near 25°C in Qingdao on September 18 under partly cloudy conditions transitioning to clearer skies, yet the near-even market odds between 31°C+ (50%) and ≤21°C (49%) highlight uncertainty in marine air advection and boundary-layer mixing over the Yellow Sea peninsula. Qingdao’s coastal setting typically moderates September highs to the 24–27°C climatological range through sea breezes that limit extreme warming or cooling, with southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover as key variables. Stronger onshore flow or increased insolation could push readings higher, while thicker marine stratus or enhanced mixing would favor cooler outcomes; official station data and updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a daily maximum near 25°C in Qingdao on September 18 under partly cloudy conditions transitioning to clearer skies, yet the near-even market odds between 31°C+ (50%) and ≤21°C (49%) highlight uncertainty in marine air advection and boundary-layer mixing over the Yellow Sea peninsula. Qingdao’s coastal setting typically moderates September highs to the 24–27°C climatological range through sea breezes that limit extreme warming or cooling, with southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover as key variables. Stronger onshore flow or increased insolation could push readings higher, while thicker marine stratus or enhanced mixing would favor cooler outcomes; official station data and updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecast models point to a daily maximum near 25°C in Qingdao on September 18 under partly cloudy conditions transitioning to clearer skies, yet the near-even market odds between 31°C+ (50%) and ≤21°C (49%) highlight uncertainty in marine air advection and boundary-layer mixing over the Yellow Sea peninsula. Qingdao’s coastal setting typically moderates September highs to the 24–27°C climatological range through sea breezes that limit extreme warming or cooling, with southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover as key variables. Stronger onshore flow or increased insolation could push readings higher, while thicker marine stratus or enhanced mixing would favor cooler outcomes; official station data and updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions