Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate Qingdao's overnight low on September 18 will likely range from 19–22°C under multi-cloud skies with moderate southeast winds of 3–4 Beaufort, limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This coastal setting, influenced by the Yellow Sea's thermal moderation and typical mid-September transition from summer warmth, creates genuine uncertainty in minimum temperatures, as variations in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the reading by several degrees. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band around the 18–21°C thresholds, with upcoming official observations from local stations determining resolution amid evolving model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日青島最低氣溫?
16°C或以下 100%
26°C或以上 89%
20°C 40%
22°C 39%
16°C或以下
100%
17°C
38%
18°C
30%
19°C
22%
20°C
40%
21°C
38%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C或以上
89%
16°C或以下 100%
26°C或以上 89%
20°C 40%
22°C 39%
16°C或以下
100%
17°C
38%
18°C
30%
19°C
22%
20°C
40%
21°C
38%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C或以上
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate Qingdao's overnight low on September 18 will likely range from 19–22°C under multi-cloud skies with moderate southeast winds of 3–4 Beaufort, limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This coastal setting, influenced by the Yellow Sea's thermal moderation and typical mid-September transition from summer warmth, creates genuine uncertainty in minimum temperatures, as variations in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the reading by several degrees. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band around the 18–21°C thresholds, with upcoming official observations from local stations determining resolution amid evolving model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions