Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services converge on a minimum temperature near 19°C for Qingdao on September 19, 2026, reflecting typical early-autumn synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea coast. Southerly to southeasterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge maintains mild overnight conditions, with dew points around 18–20°C and light winds limiting radiative cooling. Hourly model guidance and station observations show temperatures bottoming out near dawn at approximately 19–20°C before daytime heating to 26–28°C, consistent with September climatology for the region. Minor model spread around 17–20°C explains the secondary probabilities, while the strong market weighting on 19°C captures the tight clustering of authoritative predictions from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage has altered this outlook in the past 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日青島最低氣溫?
19°C 99%
17°C 20%
18°C 20%
15°C 18%
$559 交易量
$559 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
19°C 99%
17°C 20%
18°C 20%
15°C 18%
$559 交易量
$559 交易量
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services converge on a minimum temperature near 19°C for Qingdao on September 19, 2026, reflecting typical early-autumn synoptic patterns over the Yellow Sea coast. Southerly to southeasterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge maintains mild overnight conditions, with dew points around 18–20°C and light winds limiting radiative cooling. Hourly model guidance and station observations show temperatures bottoming out near dawn at approximately 19–20°C before daytime heating to 26–28°C, consistent with September climatology for the region. Minor model spread around 17–20°C explains the secondary probabilities, while the strong market weighting on 19°C captures the tight clustering of authoritative predictions from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration. No significant cold-air advection or frontal passage has altered this outlook in the past 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions