Forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 22–23°C in Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with sustained southeast winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the coastal Yellow Sea, supporting the observed consensus around 22–23°C while reducing the chance of sharp drops below 20°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split, with notable probability on 19°C or below and 29°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, potential short-term model adjustments, and historical variability in autumn marine influence. Updated observational data and evening model runs will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日青島最低氣溫？
9月17日青島最低氣溫？
29°C或以上 59%
19°C或以下 43%
24°C 39%
25°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
19°C或以下
43%
20°C
28%
21°C
27%
22°C
21%
23°C
38%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
13%
27°C
13%
28°C
14%
29°C或以上
59%
29°C或以上 59%
19°C或以下 43%
24°C 39%
25°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
43%
20°C
$0 交易量
28%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
21%
23°C
$0 交易量
38%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C
$0 交易量
13%
27°C
$0 交易量
13%
28°C
$0 交易量
14%
29°C或以上
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 22–23°C in Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with sustained southeast winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the coastal Yellow Sea, supporting the observed consensus around 22–23°C while reducing the chance of sharp drops below 20°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split, with notable probability on 19°C or below and 29°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, potential short-term model adjustments, and historical variability in autumn marine influence. Updated observational data and evening model runs will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 22–23°C in Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with sustained southeast winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the coastal Yellow Sea, supporting the observed consensus around 22–23°C while reducing the chance of sharp drops below 20°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split, with notable probability on 19°C or below and 29°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, potential short-term model adjustments, and historical variability in autumn marine influence. Updated observational data and evening model runs will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 22–23°C in Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with sustained southeast winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the coastal Yellow Sea, supporting the observed consensus around 22–23°C while reducing the chance of sharp drops below 20°C. Market-implied odds remain closely split, with notable probability on 19°C or below and 29°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in local boundary-layer mixing, potential short-term model adjustments, and historical variability in autumn marine influence. Updated observational data and evening model runs will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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