**Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Beijing on September 19 centers on 18–19°C, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting modest forecast uncertainty.** Recent official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple models shows mostly cloudy to multi-cloud conditions with light southerly winds, overnight humidity near 60–80%, and limited radiative cooling, supporting a minimum around 18–20°C. Slight model spreads arise from variations in cloud cover timing and urban heat island effects at official stations, while historical September baselines for the region (typically 16–20°C lows) provide context for the tight clustering. Light winds and transitional autumn patterns reduce the chance of sharper drops, keeping 17°C viable but less favored. Final resolution depends on the official overnight minimum reported by monitoring agencies once the calendar day concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日北京最低溫度？
9月19日北京最低溫度？
13°C或以下 90%
16°C 20%
15°C 12%
14°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
13°C或以下
90%
14°C
7%
15°C
12%
16°C
20%
17°C
46%
18°C
48%
19°C
53%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或以上
<1%
13°C或以下 90%
16°C 20%
15°C 12%
14°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
14°C
$0 交易量
7%
15°C
$0 交易量
12%
16°C
$33 交易量
20%
17°C
$66 交易量
46%
18°C
$35 交易量
48%
19°C
$40 交易量
53%
20°C
$31 交易量
<1%
21°C
$37 交易量
<1%
22°C
$37 交易量
<1%
23°C或以上
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Beijing on September 19 centers on 18–19°C, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting modest forecast uncertainty.** Recent official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple models shows mostly cloudy to multi-cloud conditions with light southerly winds, overnight humidity near 60–80%, and limited radiative cooling, supporting a minimum around 18–20°C. Slight model spreads arise from variations in cloud cover timing and urban heat island effects at official stations, while historical September baselines for the region (typically 16–20°C lows) provide context for the tight clustering. Light winds and transitional autumn patterns reduce the chance of sharper drops, keeping 17°C viable but less favored. Final resolution depends on the official overnight minimum reported by monitoring agencies once the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$317結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Beijing on September 19 centers on 18–19°C, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting modest forecast uncertainty.** Recent official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple models shows mostly cloudy to multi-cloud conditions with light southerly winds, overnight humidity near 60–80%, and limited radiative cooling, supporting a minimum around 18–20°C. Slight model spreads arise from variations in cloud cover timing and urban heat island effects at official stations, while historical September baselines for the region (typically 16–20°C lows) provide context for the tight clustering. Light winds and transitional autumn patterns reduce the chance of sharper drops, keeping 17°C viable but less favored. Final resolution depends on the official overnight minimum reported by monitoring agencies once the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$317結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Beijing on September 19 centers on 18–19°C, with closely matched implied probabilities reflecting modest forecast uncertainty.** Recent official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple models shows mostly cloudy to multi-cloud conditions with light southerly winds, overnight humidity near 60–80%, and limited radiative cooling, supporting a minimum around 18–20°C. Slight model spreads arise from variations in cloud cover timing and urban heat island effects at official stations, while historical September baselines for the region (typically 16–20°C lows) provide context for the tight clustering. Light winds and transitional autumn patterns reduce the chance of sharper drops, keeping 17°C viable but less favored. Final resolution depends on the official overnight minimum reported by monitoring agencies once the calendar day concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions