Official meteorological stations, including INMET networks, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 20°C in São Paulo on September 12 amid persistent heavy rainfall totaling over 75 mm in 24 hours at key sites like Mirante de Santana. A polar-origin cold front and associated moisture surge suppressed daytime heating, keeping readings well below typical early-spring averages near 23–26°C and aligning with forecasts of maxima capped at or below 20°C through mid-month. This data-driven outcome produced near-certain market pricing at 20°C, as traders incorporated verified observations rather than models. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could alter resolution, though such shifts remain improbable given multi-station consistency.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日聖保羅的最高溫度？
9月12日聖保羅的最高溫度？
20°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$47,293 交易量
$47,293 交易量
2026-09-12
19°C或以下
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$47,293 交易量
$47,293 交易量
2026-09-12
19°C或以下
$7,176 交易量
否
20°C
$6,262 交易量
是
21°C
$5,898 交易量
否
22°C
$6,029 交易量
否
23°C
$4,390 交易量
否
24°C
$4,232 交易量
否
25°C
$5,998 交易量
否
26°C
$2,176 交易量
否
27°C
$1,538 交易量
否
28°C
$1,953 交易量
否
29°C或以上
$1,640 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations, including INMET networks, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 20°C in São Paulo on September 12 amid persistent heavy rainfall totaling over 75 mm in 24 hours at key sites like Mirante de Santana. A polar-origin cold front and associated moisture surge suppressed daytime heating, keeping readings well below typical early-spring averages near 23–26°C and aligning with forecasts of maxima capped at or below 20°C through mid-month. This data-driven outcome produced near-certain market pricing at 20°C, as traders incorporated verified observations rather than models. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could alter resolution, though such shifts remain improbable given multi-station consistency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$47,293結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological stations, including INMET networks, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 20°C in São Paulo on September 12 amid persistent heavy rainfall totaling over 75 mm in 24 hours at key sites like Mirante de Santana. A polar-origin cold front and associated moisture surge suppressed daytime heating, keeping readings well below typical early-spring averages near 23–26°C and aligning with forecasts of maxima capped at or below 20°C through mid-month. This data-driven outcome produced near-certain market pricing at 20°C, as traders incorporated verified observations rather than models. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could alter resolution, though such shifts remain improbable given multi-station consistency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$47,293結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological stations, including INMET networks, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 20°C in São Paulo on September 12 amid persistent heavy rainfall totaling over 75 mm in 24 hours at key sites like Mirante de Santana. A polar-origin cold front and associated moisture surge suppressed daytime heating, keeping readings well below typical early-spring averages near 23–26°C and aligning with forecasts of maxima capped at or below 20°C through mid-month. This data-driven outcome produced near-certain market pricing at 20°C, as traders incorporated verified observations rather than models. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-hoc data revision could alter resolution, though such shifts remain improbable given multi-station consistency.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions