Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and stations, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, show Chongqing's peak temperature stabilizing near 29°C on September 12 amid stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. This consensus aligns with historical mid-September baselines for the region, where average highs hover around 27–29°C before seasonal cooling accelerates. Trader positioning at near-certainty for 29°C reflects real-time observational convergence and the low likelihood of rapid intensification or cooling on resolution day. A shift would require unexpected convective activity or measurement variance at the designated official station exceeding typical instrument precision.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日重慶氣溫最高?
29°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$28,760 交易量
$28,760 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$28,760 交易量
$28,760 交易量
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and stations, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, show Chongqing's peak temperature stabilizing near 29°C on September 12 amid stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. This consensus aligns with historical mid-September baselines for the region, where average highs hover around 27–29°C before seasonal cooling accelerates. Trader positioning at near-certainty for 29°C reflects real-time observational convergence and the low likelihood of rapid intensification or cooling on resolution day. A shift would require unexpected convective activity or measurement variance at the designated official station exceeding typical instrument precision.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions