Official observations from National Weather Service stations around Houston recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s, producing heat indices near 105°F. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where afternoon temperatures typically peak in the low-to-mid 90s absent strong frontal passages or enhanced subsidence. Model guidance issued the prior evening had already converged on this narrow range, and no revised data releases or station discrepancies have emerged to shift the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an overlooked microclimate spike at the designated resolution station or a post-event quality-control adjustment exceeding 1–2°F, both of which remain low-probability given consistent regional reports.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日休斯敦的最高溫度？
9月12日休斯敦的最高溫度？
96-97°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$51,657 交易量
$51,657 交易量
2026-09-12
81°F或以下
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89華氏度
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
是
98-99華氏度
否
100°F或以上
否
96-97°F 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$51,657 交易量
$51,657 交易量
2026-09-12
81°F或以下
$1,384 交易量
否
82-83°F
$620 交易量
否
84-85°F
$438 交易量
否
86-87°F
$437 交易量
否
88-89華氏度
$1,614 交易量
否
90-91°F
$6,726 交易量
否
92-93°F
$10,766 交易量
否
94-95°F
$7,168 交易量
否
96-97°F
$14,043 交易量
是
98-99華氏度
$6,853 交易量
否
100°F或以上
$1,607 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations around Houston recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s, producing heat indices near 105°F. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where afternoon temperatures typically peak in the low-to-mid 90s absent strong frontal passages or enhanced subsidence. Model guidance issued the prior evening had already converged on this narrow range, and no revised data releases or station discrepancies have emerged to shift the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an overlooked microclimate spike at the designated resolution station or a post-event quality-control adjustment exceeding 1–2°F, both of which remain low-probability given consistent regional reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$51,657結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations around Houston recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s, producing heat indices near 105°F. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where afternoon temperatures typically peak in the low-to-mid 90s absent strong frontal passages or enhanced subsidence. Model guidance issued the prior evening had already converged on this narrow range, and no revised data releases or station discrepancies have emerged to shift the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an overlooked microclimate spike at the designated resolution station or a post-event quality-control adjustment exceeding 1–2°F, both of which remain low-probability given consistent regional reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$51,657結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from National Weather Service stations around Houston recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s, producing heat indices near 105°F. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where afternoon temperatures typically peak in the low-to-mid 90s absent strong frontal passages or enhanced subsidence. Model guidance issued the prior evening had already converged on this narrow range, and no revised data releases or station discrepancies have emerged to shift the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an overlooked microclimate spike at the designated resolution station or a post-event quality-control adjustment exceeding 1–2°F, both of which remain low-probability given consistent regional reports.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions