Persistent cloud cover and a northerly wind flow are limiting daytime solar insolation across the Seattle area today, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the seasonal average of 71°F. Official forecasts from NOAA and local models converge on afternoon highs of 66–68°F under mostly overcast skies, with light winds under 10 mph reducing turbulent mixing in the boundary layer and allowing marine air influence from Puget Sound to moderate warming. Recent NWS observations show a shift from clearer, warmer conditions earlier in the week (highs 72–81°F) to increased stratus and reduced radiative heating, creating tight clustering in trader probabilities around the 66–69°F bins. Any late-day clearing or subtle model shifts in cloud timing could nudge readings into the 70°F range, while sustained overcast would favor the lower end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日西雅圖的最高溫度?
68-69°F 32%
66-67°F 30%
70-71°F 18%
64-65°F 12%
$14,211 交易量
$14,211 交易量
57°F或以下
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76°F或更高
<1%
68-69°F 32%
66-67°F 30%
70-71°F 18%
64-65°F 12%
$14,211 交易量
$14,211 交易量
57°F或以下
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
2%
76°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover and a northerly wind flow are limiting daytime solar insolation across the Seattle area today, keeping maximum temperatures near or slightly below the seasonal average of 71°F. Official forecasts from NOAA and local models converge on afternoon highs of 66–68°F under mostly overcast skies, with light winds under 10 mph reducing turbulent mixing in the boundary layer and allowing marine air influence from Puget Sound to moderate warming. Recent NWS observations show a shift from clearer, warmer conditions earlier in the week (highs 72–81°F) to increased stratus and reduced radiative heating, creating tight clustering in trader probabilities around the 66–69°F bins. Any late-day clearing or subtle model shifts in cloud timing could nudge readings into the 70°F range, while sustained overcast would favor the lower end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions