Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in Miami on September 14 most likely falling in the upper 70s, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 76–79 °F. Persistent high humidity near 80–90 % overnight, combined with scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, will suppress radiational cooling and keep the boundary layer from dropping further. Typical late-summer steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s provide a climatological floor near 77 °F, while any additional thunderstorm activity could locally enhance mixing and nudge readings slightly higher. With no frontal systems or drier air masses expected in the next 24 hours, the distribution of outcomes reflects traders weighting these standard thermodynamic constraints against minor forecast spread in the overnight minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日邁阿密的最低溫度？
9月14日邁阿密的最低溫度？
78-79°F 38%
76-77華氏度 37%
70-71°F 18%
72-73°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
69°F或以下
4%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
13%
76-77華氏度
37%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
1%
78-79°F 38%
76-77華氏度 37%
70-71°F 18%
72-73°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
69°F或以下
$0 交易量
4%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
18%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
18%
74-75°F
$59 交易量
13%
76-77華氏度
$138 交易量
37%
78-79°F
$138 交易量
38%
80-81°F
$20 交易量
18%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
6%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
5%
86-87°F
$50 交易量
<1%
88°F或更高
$550 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in Miami on September 14 most likely falling in the upper 70s, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 76–79 °F. Persistent high humidity near 80–90 % overnight, combined with scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, will suppress radiational cooling and keep the boundary layer from dropping further. Typical late-summer steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s provide a climatological floor near 77 °F, while any additional thunderstorm activity could locally enhance mixing and nudge readings slightly higher. With no frontal systems or drier air masses expected in the next 24 hours, the distribution of outcomes reflects traders weighting these standard thermodynamic constraints against minor forecast spread in the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$955結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in Miami on September 14 most likely falling in the upper 70s, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 76–79 °F. Persistent high humidity near 80–90 % overnight, combined with scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, will suppress radiational cooling and keep the boundary layer from dropping further. Typical late-summer steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s provide a climatological floor near 77 °F, while any additional thunderstorm activity could locally enhance mixing and nudge readings slightly higher. With no frontal systems or drier air masses expected in the next 24 hours, the distribution of outcomes reflects traders weighting these standard thermodynamic constraints against minor forecast spread in the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$955結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a minimum temperature in Miami on September 14 most likely falling in the upper 70s, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 76–79 °F. Persistent high humidity near 80–90 % overnight, combined with scattered cloud cover and light easterly flow, will suppress radiational cooling and keep the boundary layer from dropping further. Typical late-summer steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s provide a climatological floor near 77 °F, while any additional thunderstorm activity could locally enhance mixing and nudge readings slightly higher. With no frontal systems or drier air masses expected in the next 24 hours, the distribution of outcomes reflects traders weighting these standard thermodynamic constraints against minor forecast spread in the overnight minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions