**Trader consensus strongly favors a 40°C high in Karachi on September 13, driven by official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models projecting peak temperatures near that threshold under mostly sunny skies, westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances.** Current observations show afternoon readings climbing into the upper 30s°C with high humidity (50–70%) and heat indices elevated by several degrees, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The 98.5% implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and historical September maxima around 37–40°C. A shift in steering patterns allowing greater cloud cover, an earlier monsoon pulse, or revised model runs showing a lower peak could realistically push the official maximum below 40°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
9月13日卡拉奇的最高溫度？
40°C 99.4%
41°C或更高 2%
31°C或以下 <1%
32°C <1%
$32,753 交易量
$32,753 交易量
2026-09-13
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
99%
41°C或更高
2%
40°C 99.4%
41°C或更高 2%
31°C或以下 <1%
32°C <1%
$32,753 交易量
$32,753 交易量
2026-09-13
31°C或以下
$1,088 交易量
<1%
32°C
$712 交易量
<1%
33°C
$3,520 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,676 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,280 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,987 交易量
<1%
37°C
$4,932 交易量
<1%
38°C
$2,650 交易量
<1%
39°C
$6,750 交易量
<1%
40°C
$5,220 交易量
99%
41°C或更高
$2,938 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 40°C high in Karachi on September 13, driven by official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models projecting peak temperatures near that threshold under mostly sunny skies, westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances.** Current observations show afternoon readings climbing into the upper 30s°C with high humidity (50–70%) and heat indices elevated by several degrees, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The 98.5% implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and historical September maxima around 37–40°C. A shift in steering patterns allowing greater cloud cover, an earlier monsoon pulse, or revised model runs showing a lower peak could realistically push the official maximum below 40°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$32,753結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 40°C high in Karachi on September 13, driven by official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models projecting peak temperatures near that threshold under mostly sunny skies, westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances.** Current observations show afternoon readings climbing into the upper 30s°C with high humidity (50–70%) and heat indices elevated by several degrees, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The 98.5% implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and historical September maxima around 37–40°C. A shift in steering patterns allowing greater cloud cover, an earlier monsoon pulse, or revised model runs showing a lower peak could realistically push the official maximum below 40°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,753結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a 40°C high in Karachi on September 13, driven by official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models projecting peak temperatures near that threshold under mostly sunny skies, westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances.** Current observations show afternoon readings climbing into the upper 30s°C with high humidity (50–70%) and heat indices elevated by several degrees, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The 98.5% implied probability reflects aggregated trader assessment of these conditions and historical September maxima around 37–40°C. A shift in steering patterns allowing greater cloud cover, an earlier monsoon pulse, or revised model runs showing a lower peak could realistically push the official maximum below 40°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions