Recent numerical weather forecasts for Wuhan on September 13 converge on a daily maximum near 33°C under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Multiple models, including those from sources like WeatherBug and PredictWind, project highs of 31–34°C with minimal precipitation risk, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September in the region. Trader consensus favors 32–34°C brackets because official observations often fall within model spreads of 1–2°C, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent rapid changes in steering patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs on September 12 reinforce this narrow range ahead of the day's resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日武漢氣溫最高？
9月13日武漢氣溫最高？
33°C 53%
32°C 24%
34°C 15%
31°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
24%
33°C
53%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 24%
34°C 15%
31°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
27°C或以下
$73 交易量
<1%
28°C
$57 交易量
<1%
29°C
$196 交易量
1%
30°C
$190 交易量
2%
31°C
$1,023 交易量
4%
32°C
$978 交易量
24%
33°C
$2,703 交易量
53%
34°C
$658 交易量
15%
35°C
$203 交易量
3%
36°C
$0 交易量
<1%
37°C或以上
$193 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather forecasts for Wuhan on September 13 converge on a daily maximum near 33°C under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Multiple models, including those from sources like WeatherBug and PredictWind, project highs of 31–34°C with minimal precipitation risk, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September in the region. Trader consensus favors 32–34°C brackets because official observations often fall within model spreads of 1–2°C, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent rapid changes in steering patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs on September 12 reinforce this narrow range ahead of the day's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,275結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather forecasts for Wuhan on September 13 converge on a daily maximum near 33°C under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Multiple models, including those from sources like WeatherBug and PredictWind, project highs of 31–34°C with minimal precipitation risk, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September in the region. Trader consensus favors 32–34°C brackets because official observations often fall within model spreads of 1–2°C, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent rapid changes in steering patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs on September 12 reinforce this narrow range ahead of the day's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,275結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent numerical weather forecasts for Wuhan on September 13 converge on a daily maximum near 33°C under mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Multiple models, including those from sources like WeatherBug and PredictWind, project highs of 31–34°C with minimal precipitation risk, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions typical for mid-September in the region. Trader consensus favors 32–34°C brackets because official observations often fall within model spreads of 1–2°C, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable absent rapid changes in steering patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs on September 12 reinforce this narrow range ahead of the day's resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions