Recent meteorological observations and forecast models indicate mostly clear to sunny conditions over Qingdao on September 14, supporting a daytime high in the upper 20s Celsius as the baseline expectation under light northerly winds and typical coastal moderation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57% implied probability for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, appears driven by recent daily maxima near 26–28°C and the potential for slightly stronger solar heating or minor model adjustments in the final hours. The low probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher align with historical September norms and the limited intensification potential from stable atmospheric patterns, while 28°C or below retains modest weight due to possible early cloud cover or measurement timing at the primary station. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies remains the key near-term input ahead of official hourly readings that will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日青島氣溫最高？
9月14日青島氣溫最高？
29°C 56%
30°C 35%
28°C 6%
31°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
56%
30°C
35%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 56%
30°C 35%
28°C 6%
31°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
24°C或以下
$363 交易量
<1%
25°C
$277 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$276 交易量
2%
28°C
$771 交易量
6%
29°C
$2,214 交易量
56%
30°C
$499 交易量
35%
31°C
$841 交易量
6%
32°C
$248 交易量
3%
33°C
$290 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$592 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models indicate mostly clear to sunny conditions over Qingdao on September 14, supporting a daytime high in the upper 20s Celsius as the baseline expectation under light northerly winds and typical coastal moderation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57% implied probability for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, appears driven by recent daily maxima near 26–28°C and the potential for slightly stronger solar heating or minor model adjustments in the final hours. The low probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher align with historical September norms and the limited intensification potential from stable atmospheric patterns, while 28°C or below retains modest weight due to possible early cloud cover or measurement timing at the primary station. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies remains the key near-term input ahead of official hourly readings that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$6,371結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models indicate mostly clear to sunny conditions over Qingdao on September 14, supporting a daytime high in the upper 20s Celsius as the baseline expectation under light northerly winds and typical coastal moderation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57% implied probability for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, appears driven by recent daily maxima near 26–28°C and the potential for slightly stronger solar heating or minor model adjustments in the final hours. The low probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher align with historical September norms and the limited intensification potential from stable atmospheric patterns, while 28°C or below retains modest weight due to possible early cloud cover or measurement timing at the primary station. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies remains the key near-term input ahead of official hourly readings that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,371結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETRecent meteorological observations and forecast models indicate mostly clear to sunny conditions over Qingdao on September 14, supporting a daytime high in the upper 20s Celsius as the baseline expectation under light northerly winds and typical coastal moderation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57% implied probability for 29°C and 34% for 30°C, appears driven by recent daily maxima near 26–28°C and the potential for slightly stronger solar heating or minor model adjustments in the final hours. The low probabilities assigned to 31°C or higher align with historical September norms and the limited intensification potential from stable atmospheric patterns, while 28°C or below retains modest weight due to possible early cloud cover or measurement timing at the primary station. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies remains the key near-term input ahead of official hourly readings that will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions