**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 25°C high in Cape Town on September 13, 2026, reflects real-time surface observations and model guidance from sources such as the South African Weather Service and international ensembles showing a daytime peak near that threshold amid variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds.** Afternoon readings from multiple stations clustered around 21–22°C earlier in the day before localized warming pushed values to the market-implied level, consistent with September climatology where highs typically range 18–23°C but can spike under brief clear spells. This outcome aligns with verified station maxima rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from official networks or discrepancies between airport and urban sensors exceeding the 1°C resolution band, though current monitoring indicates low likelihood of such adjustments before final reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦9月13日的最高溫度？
開普敦9月13日的最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,847 交易量
$38,847 交易量
2026-09-13
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$38,847 交易量
$38,847 交易量
2026-09-13
19°C或以下
$3,573 交易量
否
20°C
$1,700 交易量
否
21°C
$4,709 交易量
否
22°C
$4,846 交易量
否
23°C
$3,282 交易量
否
24°C
$4,827 交易量
否
25°C
$6,087 交易量
是
26°C
$4,394 交易量
否
27°C
$2,196 交易量
否
28°C
$742 交易量
否
29°C或以上
$2,490 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 25°C high in Cape Town on September 13, 2026, reflects real-time surface observations and model guidance from sources such as the South African Weather Service and international ensembles showing a daytime peak near that threshold amid variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds.**
Afternoon readings from multiple stations clustered around 21–22°C earlier in the day before localized warming pushed values to the market-implied level, consistent with September climatology where highs typically range 18–23°C but can spike under brief clear spells. This outcome aligns with verified station maxima rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from official networks or discrepancies between airport and urban sensors exceeding the 1°C resolution band, though current monitoring indicates low likelihood of such adjustments before final reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$38,847結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 25°C high in Cape Town on September 13, 2026, reflects real-time surface observations and model guidance from sources such as the South African Weather Service and international ensembles showing a daytime peak near that threshold amid variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds.**
Afternoon readings from multiple stations clustered around 21–22°C earlier in the day before localized warming pushed values to the market-implied level, consistent with September climatology where highs typically range 18–23°C but can spike under brief clear spells. This outcome aligns with verified station maxima rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from official networks or discrepancies between airport and urban sensors exceeding the 1°C resolution band, though current monitoring indicates low likelihood of such adjustments before final reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,847結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 25°C high in Cape Town on September 13, 2026, reflects real-time surface observations and model guidance from sources such as the South African Weather Service and international ensembles showing a daytime peak near that threshold amid variable cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds.** Afternoon readings from multiple stations clustered around 21–22°C earlier in the day before localized warming pushed values to the market-implied level, consistent with September climatology where highs typically range 18–23°C but can spike under brief clear spells. This outcome aligns with verified station maxima rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge would require post-event data revisions from official networks or discrepancies between airport and urban sensors exceeding the 1°C resolution band, though current monitoring indicates low likelihood of such adjustments before final reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions