Current forecast models from sources like the GFS and National Weather Service consensus point to a high near 87–89°F for Miami on September 13, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate southeast flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favoring scattered thunderstorms. These storms often develop by early afternoon, increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances above 50 percent that can suppress peak temperatures below the seasonal average of 89.4°F. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong high-pressure ridge or tropical moisture surge to push readings into the low 90s, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 88–91°F range while acknowledging that stronger convection or delayed storms could shift outcomes slightly higher or lower before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日邁阿密的最高溫度?
90-91°F 50%
88-89°F 35%
92-93°F 8%
86-87°F 6%
華氏79度或以下
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
50%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或更高
<1%
90-91°F 50%
88-89°F 35%
92-93°F 8%
86-87°F 6%
華氏79度或以下
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
50%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like the GFS and National Weather Service consensus point to a high near 87–89°F for Miami on September 13, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate southeast flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favoring scattered thunderstorms. These storms often develop by early afternoon, increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances above 50 percent that can suppress peak temperatures below the seasonal average of 89.4°F. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong high-pressure ridge or tropical moisture surge to push readings into the low 90s, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 88–91°F range while acknowledging that stronger convection or delayed storms could shift outcomes slightly higher or lower before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions