**Traders have placed overwhelming confidence in the 64-65°F bin because official National Weather Service observations from Central Park recorded a minimum of 65°F on September 14, 2026.** Clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air under a stable high-pressure ridge produced typical late-summer radiational cooling, resulting in a low only slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 62.4°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours consistently projected overnight lows in this narrow range, and no significant frontal passage or moisture intrusion occurred to alter the outcome. While an unusually strong cold-air outbreak or instrumentation discrepancy at the primary reporting station could theoretically shift the final value, such deviations are rare for this date and location, supporting the market’s near-certainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日紐約市的最低溫度？
9月14日紐約市的最低溫度？
64-65°F 100.0%
華氏57度或以下 <1%
58-59華氏度 <1%
60-61°F <1%
$12,435 交易量
$12,435 交易量
2026-09-14
華氏57度或以下
否
58-59華氏度
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
是
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71華氏度
否
72-73華氏度
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或以上
否
64-65°F 100.0%
華氏57度或以下 <1%
58-59華氏度 <1%
60-61°F <1%
$12,435 交易量
$12,435 交易量
2026-09-14
華氏57度或以下
$480 交易量
否
58-59華氏度
$654 交易量
否
60-61°F
$268 交易量
否
62-63°F
$1,707 交易量
否
64-65°F
$2,649 交易量
是
66-67°F
$3,060 交易量
否
68-69°F
$1,706 交易量
否
70-71華氏度
$579 交易量
否
72-73華氏度
$766 交易量
否
74-75°F
$457 交易量
否
76°F或以上
$107 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have placed overwhelming confidence in the 64-65°F bin because official National Weather Service observations from Central Park recorded a minimum of 65°F on September 14, 2026.** Clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air under a stable high-pressure ridge produced typical late-summer radiational cooling, resulting in a low only slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 62.4°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours consistently projected overnight lows in this narrow range, and no significant frontal passage or moisture intrusion occurred to alter the outcome. While an unusually strong cold-air outbreak or instrumentation discrepancy at the primary reporting station could theoretically shift the final value, such deviations are rare for this date and location, supporting the market’s near-certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$12,435結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have placed overwhelming confidence in the 64-65°F bin because official National Weather Service observations from Central Park recorded a minimum of 65°F on September 14, 2026.** Clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air under a stable high-pressure ridge produced typical late-summer radiational cooling, resulting in a low only slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 62.4°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours consistently projected overnight lows in this narrow range, and no significant frontal passage or moisture intrusion occurred to alter the outcome. While an unusually strong cold-air outbreak or instrumentation discrepancy at the primary reporting station could theoretically shift the final value, such deviations are rare for this date and location, supporting the market’s near-certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,435結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Traders have placed overwhelming confidence in the 64-65°F bin because official National Weather Service observations from Central Park recorded a minimum of 65°F on September 14, 2026.** Clear skies, light northerly winds, and dry air under a stable high-pressure ridge produced typical late-summer radiational cooling, resulting in a low only slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 62.4°F. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours consistently projected overnight lows in this narrow range, and no significant frontal passage or moisture intrusion occurred to alter the outcome. While an unusually strong cold-air outbreak or instrumentation discrepancy at the primary reporting station could theoretically shift the final value, such deviations are rare for this date and location, supporting the market’s near-certainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions