Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and others show Madrid's high on September 16 likely reaching 28–29°C under mostly clear skies and northeasterly winds of 10–14 mph that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions the prior day. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these two outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind timing can shift the peak by 1°C, while historical September averages near 26°C provide baseline context. Low precipitation risk and stable high pressure support the outlook, though updated model runs closer to the date could refine the exact maximum before markets resolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日馬德裏氣溫最高？
9月16日馬德裏氣溫最高？
29°C 36%
28°C 33%
27°C 14%
30°C 9%
最新
$12,855 交易量
最新
$12,855 交易量
2026-09-16
26°C或以下
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
33%
29°C
36%
30°C
9%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 33%
27°C 14%
30°C 9%
最新
$12,855 交易量
最新
$12,855 交易量
2026-09-16
26°C或以下
$304 交易量
5%
27°C
$552 交易量
14%
28°C
$1,872 交易量
33%
29°C
$2,576 交易量
36%
30°C
$3,398 交易量
9%
31°C
$1,909 交易量
6%
32°C
$1,280 交易量
2%
33°C
$607 交易量
1%
34°C
$71 交易量
<1%
35°C
$175 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$112 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and others show Madrid's high on September 16 likely reaching 28–29°C under mostly clear skies and northeasterly winds of 10–14 mph that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions the prior day. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these two outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind timing can shift the peak by 1°C, while historical September averages near 26°C provide baseline context. Low precipitation risk and stable high pressure support the outlook, though updated model runs closer to the date could refine the exact maximum before markets resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$12,855結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and others show Madrid's high on September 16 likely reaching 28–29°C under mostly clear skies and northeasterly winds of 10–14 mph that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions the prior day. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these two outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind timing can shift the peak by 1°C, while historical September averages near 26°C provide baseline context. Low precipitation risk and stable high pressure support the outlook, though updated model runs closer to the date could refine the exact maximum before markets resolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,855結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from agencies including the Met Office and others show Madrid's high on September 16 likely reaching 28–29°C under mostly clear skies and northeasterly winds of 10–14 mph that limit daytime heating after warmer conditions the prior day. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these two outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact wind timing can shift the peak by 1°C, while historical September averages near 26°C provide baseline context. Low precipitation risk and stable high pressure support the outlook, though updated model runs closer to the date could refine the exact maximum before markets resolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions