Trader consensus on a lowest temperature of 1°C or below in Buenos Aires on September 16 reflects confirmed observations from the National Meteorological Service showing rapid nighttime radiative cooling under clear skies after southerly cold air advection. Regional forecast models converged on this outcome, consistent with early-spring climatology where polar outbreaks produce sharp drops below typical September minima around 7–10°C. Official station data and multiple sensor readings reinforced the market-implied odds near resolution. Scenarios that could still challenge the outcome include minor revisions from urban heat-island buffering or precise hourly measurement windows near the threshold, though such adjustments appear improbable given the strength of the consensus data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
9月16日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
1°C或以下 100.0%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$1,618 交易量
$1,618 交易量
2026-09-16
1°C或以下
是
2°C
否
3°C
否
4°C
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C或以上
否
1°C或以下 100.0%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$1,618 交易量
$1,618 交易量
2026-09-16
1°C或以下
$576 交易量
是
2°C
$252 交易量
否
3°C
$232 交易量
否
4°C
$55 交易量
否
5°C
$357 交易量
否
6°C
$58 交易量
否
7°C
$89 交易量
否
8°C
$0 交易量
否
9°C
$0 交易量
否
10°C
$0 交易量
否
11°C或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a lowest temperature of 1°C or below in Buenos Aires on September 16 reflects confirmed observations from the National Meteorological Service showing rapid nighttime radiative cooling under clear skies after southerly cold air advection. Regional forecast models converged on this outcome, consistent with early-spring climatology where polar outbreaks produce sharp drops below typical September minima around 7–10°C. Official station data and multiple sensor readings reinforced the market-implied odds near resolution. Scenarios that could still challenge the outcome include minor revisions from urban heat-island buffering or precise hourly measurement windows near the threshold, though such adjustments appear improbable given the strength of the consensus data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,618結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a lowest temperature of 1°C or below in Buenos Aires on September 16 reflects confirmed observations from the National Meteorological Service showing rapid nighttime radiative cooling under clear skies after southerly cold air advection. Regional forecast models converged on this outcome, consistent with early-spring climatology where polar outbreaks produce sharp drops below typical September minima around 7–10°C. Official station data and multiple sensor readings reinforced the market-implied odds near resolution. Scenarios that could still challenge the outcome include minor revisions from urban heat-island buffering or precise hourly measurement windows near the threshold, though such adjustments appear improbable given the strength of the consensus data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,618結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Trader consensus on a lowest temperature of 1°C or below in Buenos Aires on September 16 reflects confirmed observations from the National Meteorological Service showing rapid nighttime radiative cooling under clear skies after southerly cold air advection. Regional forecast models converged on this outcome, consistent with early-spring climatology where polar outbreaks produce sharp drops below typical September minima around 7–10°C. Official station data and multiple sensor readings reinforced the market-implied odds near resolution. Scenarios that could still challenge the outcome include minor revisions from urban heat-island buffering or precise hourly measurement windows near the threshold, though such adjustments appear improbable given the strength of the consensus data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions