Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate Miami's September 14 maximum will likely reach the upper 80s amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms driven by daytime heating, sea-breeze convergence, and elevated precipitable water values near 2 inches. These conditions favor highs near 88°F, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September, though variable cloud cover and storm timing introduce uncertainty that could allow brief clearing and peaks approaching 90–91°F. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects this narrow upside potential from current guidance, while lower bins remain discounted absent a stronger tropical moisture surge or model shift in the next 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日邁阿密的最高溫度?
90-91°F 56%
92-93°F 23%
88-89華氏度 16%
86-87°F 4%
79°F或以下
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
4%
88-89華氏度
16%
90-91°F
56%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98°F 或更高
1%
90-91°F 56%
92-93°F 23%
88-89華氏度 16%
86-87°F 4%
79°F或以下
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
4%
88-89華氏度
16%
90-91°F
56%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98°F 或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate Miami's September 14 maximum will likely reach the upper 80s amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms driven by daytime heating, sea-breeze convergence, and elevated precipitable water values near 2 inches. These conditions favor highs near 88°F, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September, though variable cloud cover and storm timing introduce uncertainty that could allow brief clearing and peaks approaching 90–91°F. Trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin reflects this narrow upside potential from current guidance, while lower bins remain discounted absent a stronger tropical moisture surge or model shift in the next 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions