**Current forecasts from major meteorological models and agencies, including Météo-France equivalents and GFS data, indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C in Paris on September 12, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with light northwest winds and partly cloudy skies.** This aligns with the market's strong 99.3% implied probability for 26°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data and model agreement rather than speculation. Afternoon peaks are projected near this threshold based on current surface observations and diurnal heating patterns, consistent with seasonal norms adjusted for the mild synoptic setup. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day cloud increases or minor wind shifts that could cap readings 1–2°C lower; however, the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance makes significant deviations improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日巴黎最高溫度？
9月12日巴黎最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$44,422 交易量
$44,422 交易量
2026-09-12
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
26°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$44,422 交易量
$44,422 交易量
2026-09-12
20°C或以下
$2,519 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,285 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,072 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,070 交易量
<1%
24°C
$7,906 交易量
<1%
25°C
$10,177 交易量
<1%
26°C
$9,491 交易量
100%
27°C
$4,511 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,593 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,569 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$230 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from major meteorological models and agencies, including Météo-France equivalents and GFS data, indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C in Paris on September 12, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with light northwest winds and partly cloudy skies.** This aligns with the market's strong 99.3% implied probability for 26°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data and model agreement rather than speculation. Afternoon peaks are projected near this threshold based on current surface observations and diurnal heating patterns, consistent with seasonal norms adjusted for the mild synoptic setup.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day cloud increases or minor wind shifts that could cap readings 1–2°C lower; however, the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance makes significant deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$44,422結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from major meteorological models and agencies, including Météo-France equivalents and GFS data, indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C in Paris on September 12, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with light northwest winds and partly cloudy skies.** This aligns with the market's strong 99.3% implied probability for 26°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data and model agreement rather than speculation. Afternoon peaks are projected near this threshold based on current surface observations and diurnal heating patterns, consistent with seasonal norms adjusted for the mild synoptic setup.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day cloud increases or minor wind shifts that could cap readings 1–2°C lower; however, the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance makes significant deviations improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,422結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Current forecasts from major meteorological models and agencies, including Météo-France equivalents and GFS data, indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C in Paris on September 12, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with light northwest winds and partly cloudy skies.** This aligns with the market's strong 99.3% implied probability for 26°C, reflecting trader consensus on verified observational data and model agreement rather than speculation. Afternoon peaks are projected near this threshold based on current surface observations and diurnal heating patterns, consistent with seasonal norms adjusted for the mild synoptic setup. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day cloud increases or minor wind shifts that could cap readings 1–2°C lower; however, the narrow uncertainty range in official guidance makes significant deviations improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions