Recent observational data from Busan meteorological stations show daytime temperatures climbing to a peak near 30°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and low precipitation probability, aligning with the market's near-certain 30°C outcome. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports this maximum, consistent with late-summer patterns where September highs average 26–28°C but can reach 30°C during stable high-pressure periods. Minor forecast revisions or localized variations in urban heat islands could nudge the precise maximum, yet current station readings and model runs leave little room for outcomes below 29°C or above 31°C on this date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日釜山的最高溫度？
9月12日釜山的最高溫度？
30°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$32,171 交易量
$32,171 交易量
2026-09-12
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或以上
否
30°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$32,171 交易量
$32,171 交易量
2026-09-12
24°C或以下
$8,193 交易量
否
25°C
$353 交易量
否
26°C
$290 交易量
否
27°C
$347 交易量
否
28°C
$1,842 交易量
否
29°C
$7,264 交易量
否
30°C
$6,532 交易量
是
31°C
$3,371 交易量
否
32°C
$2,905 交易量
否
33°C
$92 交易量
否
34°C或以上
$983 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Busan meteorological stations show daytime temperatures climbing to a peak near 30°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and low precipitation probability, aligning with the market's near-certain 30°C outcome. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports this maximum, consistent with late-summer patterns where September highs average 26–28°C but can reach 30°C during stable high-pressure periods. Minor forecast revisions or localized variations in urban heat islands could nudge the precise maximum, yet current station readings and model runs leave little room for outcomes below 29°C or above 31°C on this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$32,171結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Busan meteorological stations show daytime temperatures climbing to a peak near 30°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and low precipitation probability, aligning with the market's near-certain 30°C outcome. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports this maximum, consistent with late-summer patterns where September highs average 26–28°C but can reach 30°C during stable high-pressure periods. Minor forecast revisions or localized variations in urban heat islands could nudge the precise maximum, yet current station readings and model runs leave little room for outcomes below 29°C or above 31°C on this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,171結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent observational data from Busan meteorological stations show daytime temperatures climbing to a peak near 30°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and low precipitation probability, aligning with the market's near-certain 30°C outcome. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF supports this maximum, consistent with late-summer patterns where September highs average 26–28°C but can reach 30°C during stable high-pressure periods. Minor forecast revisions or localized variations in urban heat islands could nudge the precise maximum, yet current station readings and model runs leave little room for outcomes below 29°C or above 31°C on this date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions