**Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% implied probability on a 21°C low for Busan on September 13, reflecting official minimum temperature observations aligning precisely with that threshold.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and dew points near 20–22°C, supported overnight radiative cooling consistent with climatological norms for the date. Multiple forecast models and real-time station data from the Korea Meteorological Administration converged on a daily minimum in the 21–23°C range, matching the 30-year historical average low. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome, such as stronger onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover reducing cooling, did not materialize, allowing the market to price the result with high certainty as observations were finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日釜山的最低溫度？
9月13日釜山的最低溫度？
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$1,169 交易量
$1,169 交易量
2026-09-13
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$1,169 交易量
$1,169 交易量
2026-09-13
15°C或以下
$330 交易量
否
16°C
$25 交易量
否
17°C
$41 交易量
否
18°C
$169 交易量
否
19°C
$159 交易量
否
20°C
$142 交易量
否
21°C
$202 交易量
是
22°C
$56 交易量
否
23°C
$15 交易量
否
24°C
$15 交易量
否
25°C或更高
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% implied probability on a 21°C low for Busan on September 13, reflecting official minimum temperature observations aligning precisely with that threshold.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and dew points near 20–22°C, supported overnight radiative cooling consistent with climatological norms for the date. Multiple forecast models and real-time station data from the Korea Meteorological Administration converged on a daily minimum in the 21–23°C range, matching the 30-year historical average low. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome, such as stronger onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover reducing cooling, did not materialize, allowing the market to price the result with high certainty as observations were finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,169結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% implied probability on a 21°C low for Busan on September 13, reflecting official minimum temperature observations aligning precisely with that threshold.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and dew points near 20–22°C, supported overnight radiative cooling consistent with climatological norms for the date. Multiple forecast models and real-time station data from the Korea Meteorological Administration converged on a daily minimum in the 21–23°C range, matching the 30-year historical average low. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome, such as stronger onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover reducing cooling, did not materialize, allowing the market to price the result with high certainty as observations were finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,169結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus has coalesced at 100% implied probability on a 21°C low for Busan on September 13, reflecting official minimum temperature observations aligning precisely with that threshold.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and dew points near 20–22°C, supported overnight radiative cooling consistent with climatological norms for the date. Multiple forecast models and real-time station data from the Korea Meteorological Administration converged on a daily minimum in the 21–23°C range, matching the 30-year historical average low. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome, such as stronger onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover reducing cooling, did not materialize, allowing the market to price the result with high certainty as observations were finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions