**Forecast models and official observations position 22°C as the leading outcome for Busan's minimum temperature on September 14, 2026.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based ensembles and Korea Meteorological Administration data, show overnight lows stabilizing near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h that support moderate radiative cooling without significant advection of warmer air. Daytime highs reached 28–30°C earlier, but clear evening conditions allowed temperatures to drop steadily toward the 20–22°C range by late night, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Current station readings around 23–24°C in the evening further align with this trajectory. Traders appear to weight the consensus of real-time model runs and historical analogs, which rarely dip below 20°C absent a strong frontal passage or enhanced cloud cover on this date. The market will resolve on the official KMA minimum recorded at Busan stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日釜山最低溫度？
9月14日釜山最低溫度？
22°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$708 交易量
$708 交易量
2026-09-14
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或以上
否
22°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$708 交易量
$708 交易量
2026-09-14
16°C或以下
$76 交易量
否
17°C
$76 交易量
否
18°C
$37 交易量
否
19°C
$214 交易量
否
20°C
$193 交易量
否
21°C
$61 交易量
否
22°C
$51 交易量
是
23°C
$0 交易量
否
24°C
$0 交易量
否
25°C
$0 交易量
否
26°C或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official observations position 22°C as the leading outcome for Busan's minimum temperature on September 14, 2026.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based ensembles and Korea Meteorological Administration data, show overnight lows stabilizing near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h that support moderate radiative cooling without significant advection of warmer air. Daytime highs reached 28–30°C earlier, but clear evening conditions allowed temperatures to drop steadily toward the 20–22°C range by late night, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Current station readings around 23–24°C in the evening further align with this trajectory. Traders appear to weight the consensus of real-time model runs and historical analogs, which rarely dip below 20°C absent a strong frontal passage or enhanced cloud cover on this date. The market will resolve on the official KMA minimum recorded at Busan stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$708結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official observations position 22°C as the leading outcome for Busan's minimum temperature on September 14, 2026.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based ensembles and Korea Meteorological Administration data, show overnight lows stabilizing near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h that support moderate radiative cooling without significant advection of warmer air. Daytime highs reached 28–30°C earlier, but clear evening conditions allowed temperatures to drop steadily toward the 20–22°C range by late night, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Current station readings around 23–24°C in the evening further align with this trajectory. Traders appear to weight the consensus of real-time model runs and historical analogs, which rarely dip below 20°C absent a strong frontal passage or enhanced cloud cover on this date. The market will resolve on the official KMA minimum recorded at Busan stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$708結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Forecast models and official observations position 22°C as the leading outcome for Busan's minimum temperature on September 14, 2026.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based ensembles and Korea Meteorological Administration data, show overnight lows stabilizing near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds of 5–10 km/h that support moderate radiative cooling without significant advection of warmer air. Daytime highs reached 28–30°C earlier, but clear evening conditions allowed temperatures to drop steadily toward the 20–22°C range by late night, consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region. Current station readings around 23–24°C in the evening further align with this trajectory. Traders appear to weight the consensus of real-time model runs and historical analogs, which rarely dip below 20°C absent a strong frontal passage or enhanced cloud cover on this date. The market will resolve on the official KMA minimum recorded at Busan stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions