Trader consensus places an 85% implied probability on 19°C as Busan’s lowest temperature for September 17, consistent with Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing stable high-pressure dominance and minimal overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Mid-September climatology for the region features typical lows in the upper teens Celsius as summer moisture retreats and cooler continental air begins to influence the Korean Peninsula. Model guidance shows little disagreement on the absence of strong frontal systems or rapid advection that could drive readings lower, keeping 18°C or below at just 15.5%. Fresh surface observations and evening forecast updates will determine whether any late-day adjustments shift these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日釜山最低溫度？
9月17日釜山最低溫度？
19°C 99%
14°C或以下 53%
18°C 31%
17°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
14°C或以下
53%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
31%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
19°C 99%
14°C或以下 53%
18°C 31%
17°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
53%
15°C
$0 交易量
1%
16°C
$2 交易量
1%
17°C
$0 交易量
8%
18°C
$83 交易量
31%
19°C
$136 交易量
99%
20°C
$192 交易量
<1%
21°C
$15 交易量
<1%
22°C
$31 交易量
<1%
23°C
$31 交易量
<1%
24°C或以上
$31 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus places an 85% implied probability on 19°C as Busan’s lowest temperature for September 17, consistent with Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing stable high-pressure dominance and minimal overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Mid-September climatology for the region features typical lows in the upper teens Celsius as summer moisture retreats and cooler continental air begins to influence the Korean Peninsula. Model guidance shows little disagreement on the absence of strong frontal systems or rapid advection that could drive readings lower, keeping 18°C or below at just 15.5%. Fresh surface observations and evening forecast updates will determine whether any late-day adjustments shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$521結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus places an 85% implied probability on 19°C as Busan’s lowest temperature for September 17, consistent with Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing stable high-pressure dominance and minimal overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Mid-September climatology for the region features typical lows in the upper teens Celsius as summer moisture retreats and cooler continental air begins to influence the Korean Peninsula. Model guidance shows little disagreement on the absence of strong frontal systems or rapid advection that could drive readings lower, keeping 18°C or below at just 15.5%. Fresh surface observations and evening forecast updates will determine whether any late-day adjustments shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$521結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETTrader consensus places an 85% implied probability on 19°C as Busan’s lowest temperature for September 17, consistent with Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing stable high-pressure dominance and minimal overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Mid-September climatology for the region features typical lows in the upper teens Celsius as summer moisture retreats and cooler continental air begins to influence the Korean Peninsula. Model guidance shows little disagreement on the absence of strong frontal systems or rapid advection that could drive readings lower, keeping 18°C or below at just 15.5%. Fresh surface observations and evening forecast updates will determine whether any late-day adjustments shift these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions