Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on September 13 likely in the 24–26°C range, with model consensus tempered by widespread cloud cover and periods of rain that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Persistent moisture from regional patterns and light winds reduce daytime peaks compared to clearer conditions typical for mid-September, while historical averages near 25–26°C provide context for the narrow spread. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 25°C amid slight divergences between guidance favoring modest warming versus stronger precipitation suppression. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will clarify the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日成都最高溫度？
9月13日成都最高溫度？
25°C 30%
24°C 27%
26°C 21%
23°C 15%
最新
$10,577 交易量
最新
$10,577 交易量
2026-09-13
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
27%
25°C
30%
26°C
21%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
25°C 30%
24°C 27%
26°C 21%
23°C 15%
最新
$10,577 交易量
最新
$10,577 交易量
2026-09-13
20°C或以下
$1,440 交易量
<1%
21°C
$162 交易量
1%
22°C
$248 交易量
4%
23°C
$1,242 交易量
15%
24°C
$3,083 交易量
27%
25°C
$1,493 交易量
30%
26°C
$1,090 交易量
21%
27°C
$884 交易量
7%
28°C
$380 交易量
2%
29°C
$344 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$221 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on September 13 likely in the 24–26°C range, with model consensus tempered by widespread cloud cover and periods of rain that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Persistent moisture from regional patterns and light winds reduce daytime peaks compared to clearer conditions typical for mid-September, while historical averages near 25–26°C provide context for the narrow spread. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 25°C amid slight divergences between guidance favoring modest warming versus stronger precipitation suppression. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will clarify the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10,577結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on September 13 likely in the 24–26°C range, with model consensus tempered by widespread cloud cover and periods of rain that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Persistent moisture from regional patterns and light winds reduce daytime peaks compared to clearer conditions typical for mid-September, while historical averages near 25–26°C provide context for the narrow spread. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 25°C amid slight divergences between guidance favoring modest warming versus stronger precipitation suppression. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will clarify the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,577結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on September 13 likely in the 24–26°C range, with model consensus tempered by widespread cloud cover and periods of rain that limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Persistent moisture from regional patterns and light winds reduce daytime peaks compared to clearer conditions typical for mid-September, while historical averages near 25–26°C provide context for the narrow spread. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 24°C and 25°C amid slight divergences between guidance favoring modest warming versus stronger precipitation suppression. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will clarify the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions