Recent forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature in Chengdu on September 14 most likely between 24–27°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light winds, and a 50–70% chance of light rain or showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting seasonal norms where mid-September highs average near 25°C amid the transition from summer monsoon influences. Short-range uncertainty stems from variable precipitation timing and model spread in cloud thickness, with new observational data and updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical September variability, where extremes rarely exceed 30°C or fall below 20°C in the basin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日成都最高溫度？
9月14日成都最高溫度？
26°C 27%
25°C 22%
24°C 21%
27°C 12%
最新
$13,009 交易量
最新
$13,009 交易量
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
10%
23°C
11%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
27%
27°C
12%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 27%
25°C 22%
24°C 21%
27°C 12%
最新
$13,009 交易量
最新
$13,009 交易量
2026-09-14
22°C或以下
$2,820 交易量
10%
23°C
$1,169 交易量
11%
24°C
$1,770 交易量
21%
25°C
$555 交易量
22%
26°C
$1,857 交易量
27%
27°C
$988 交易量
12%
28°C
$621 交易量
5%
29°C
$874 交易量
2%
30°C
$671 交易量
<1%
31°C
$460 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$1,223 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature in Chengdu on September 14 most likely between 24–27°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light winds, and a 50–70% chance of light rain or showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting seasonal norms where mid-September highs average near 25°C amid the transition from summer monsoon influences. Short-range uncertainty stems from variable precipitation timing and model spread in cloud thickness, with new observational data and updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical September variability, where extremes rarely exceed 30°C or fall below 20°C in the basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$13,009結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature in Chengdu on September 14 most likely between 24–27°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light winds, and a 50–70% chance of light rain or showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting seasonal norms where mid-September highs average near 25°C amid the transition from summer monsoon influences. Short-range uncertainty stems from variable precipitation timing and model spread in cloud thickness, with new observational data and updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical September variability, where extremes rarely exceed 30°C or fall below 20°C in the basin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,009結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature in Chengdu on September 14 most likely between 24–27°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, light winds, and a 50–70% chance of light rain or showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting seasonal norms where mid-September highs average near 25°C amid the transition from summer monsoon influences. Short-range uncertainty stems from variable precipitation timing and model spread in cloud thickness, with new observational data and updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution. Traders weigh these factors against historical September variability, where extremes rarely exceed 30°C or fall below 20°C in the basin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions