Recent observational data from Moscow meteorological stations, including Sheremetyevo Airport reports, confirm a daily maximum of 18°C on September 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. This reflects the consensus from multiple official sources tracking surface temperatures under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds that limited daytime warming. Historical averages for the date hover near 16°C, with this reading falling within typical late-summer variability driven by regional air masses. Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office projected this exact peak, reinforcing trader consensus. Only post-analysis revisions to station records or reclassification of the meteorological day could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for straightforward temperature maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日莫斯科最高溫度?
18°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$20,249 交易量
$20,249 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
18°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$20,249 交易量
$20,249 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent observational data from Moscow meteorological stations, including Sheremetyevo Airport reports, confirm a daily maximum of 18°C on September 15, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. This reflects the consensus from multiple official sources tracking surface temperatures under stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly winds that limited daytime warming. Historical averages for the date hover near 16°C, with this reading falling within typical late-summer variability driven by regional air masses. Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office projected this exact peak, reinforcing trader consensus. Only post-analysis revisions to station records or reclassification of the meteorological day could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for straightforward temperature maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions