**Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcenter) and supporting numerical models project a nighttime minimum near 6–7°C in Moscow on September 16, 2026, under variable to clear skies with light northerly winds and no significant cold-air advection.** Daytime highs are expected around 17–19°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. This consensus, backed by multiple model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal radiative cooling beyond that threshold, drives the market's strong 95% implied probability for a 6°C low. Official resolution will hinge on the precise recorded minimum from authorized stations. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-expected clear-sky radiative cooling or localized measurement variations pushing the low to 4–5°C, though current atmospheric conditions make colder outcomes unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日莫斯科最低溫度？
9月16日莫斯科最低溫度？
6°C 99.5%
2°C 1.0%
3°C 1.0%
4°C 1.0%
$568 交易量
$568 交易量
2026-09-16
1°C或以下
否
2°C
否
3°C
否
4°C
否
5°C
否
6°C
是
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C或更高
否
6°C 99.5%
2°C 1.0%
3°C 1.0%
4°C 1.0%
$568 交易量
$568 交易量
2026-09-16
1°C或以下
$26 交易量
否
2°C
$10 交易量
否
3°C
$36 交易量
否
4°C
$46 交易量
否
5°C
$51 交易量
否
6°C
$129 交易量
是
7°C
$203 交易量
否
8°C
$16 交易量
否
9°C
$0 交易量
否
10°C
$30 交易量
否
11°C或更高
$22 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcenter) and supporting numerical models project a nighttime minimum near 6–7°C in Moscow on September 16, 2026, under variable to clear skies with light northerly winds and no significant cold-air advection.** Daytime highs are expected around 17–19°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. This consensus, backed by multiple model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal radiative cooling beyond that threshold, drives the market's strong 95% implied probability for a 6°C low. Official resolution will hinge on the precise recorded minimum from authorized stations. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-expected clear-sky radiative cooling or localized measurement variations pushing the low to 4–5°C, though current atmospheric conditions make colder outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$568結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcenter) and supporting numerical models project a nighttime minimum near 6–7°C in Moscow on September 16, 2026, under variable to clear skies with light northerly winds and no significant cold-air advection.** Daytime highs are expected around 17–19°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. This consensus, backed by multiple model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal radiative cooling beyond that threshold, drives the market's strong 95% implied probability for a 6°C low. Official resolution will hinge on the precise recorded minimum from authorized stations. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-expected clear-sky radiative cooling or localized measurement variations pushing the low to 4–5°C, though current atmospheric conditions make colder outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$568結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Gidrometcenter) and supporting numerical models project a nighttime minimum near 6–7°C in Moscow on September 16, 2026, under variable to clear skies with light northerly winds and no significant cold-air advection.** Daytime highs are expected around 17–19°C, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September. This consensus, backed by multiple model runs showing stable high pressure and minimal radiative cooling beyond that threshold, drives the market's strong 95% implied probability for a 6°C low. Official resolution will hinge on the precise recorded minimum from authorized stations. A realistic challenge could arise from greater-than-expected clear-sky radiative cooling or localized measurement variations pushing the low to 4–5°C, though current atmospheric conditions make colder outcomes unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions