Recent atmospheric conditions and forecast model spreads are driving the closely matched market-implied odds for Moscow’s September 18 overnight low, with traders balancing scenarios for sub-5°C readings against milder outcomes near or above 15°C. Incoming showers and variable cloud cover from a southwest flow are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any clearer breaks could allow greater temperature drops below the seasonal average low of roughly 7–8°C. Model consensus points to overnight minima around 9–12°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, but divergence in precipitation timing and cloud thickness creates genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日莫斯科最低溫度？
9月18日莫斯科最低溫度？
5°C或以下 82%
15°C或更高 77%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
5°C或以下
82%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
30%
11°C
22%
12°C
22%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C或更高
77%
5°C或以下 82%
15°C或更高 77%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
5°C或以下
$0 交易量
82%
6°C
$0 交易量
40%
7°C
$0 交易量
40%
8°C
$0 交易量
40%
9°C
$0 交易量
40%
10°C
$0 交易量
30%
11°C
$0 交易量
22%
12°C
$0 交易量
22%
13°C
$0 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C或更高
$0 交易量
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions and forecast model spreads are driving the closely matched market-implied odds for Moscow’s September 18 overnight low, with traders balancing scenarios for sub-5°C readings against milder outcomes near or above 15°C. Incoming showers and variable cloud cover from a southwest flow are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any clearer breaks could allow greater temperature drops below the seasonal average low of roughly 7–8°C. Model consensus points to overnight minima around 9–12°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, but divergence in precipitation timing and cloud thickness creates genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions and forecast model spreads are driving the closely matched market-implied odds for Moscow’s September 18 overnight low, with traders balancing scenarios for sub-5°C readings against milder outcomes near or above 15°C. Incoming showers and variable cloud cover from a southwest flow are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any clearer breaks could allow greater temperature drops below the seasonal average low of roughly 7–8°C. Model consensus points to overnight minima around 9–12°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, but divergence in precipitation timing and cloud thickness creates genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent atmospheric conditions and forecast model spreads are driving the closely matched market-implied odds for Moscow’s September 18 overnight low, with traders balancing scenarios for sub-5°C readings against milder outcomes near or above 15°C. Incoming showers and variable cloud cover from a southwest flow are expected to limit radiative cooling, while any clearer breaks could allow greater temperature drops below the seasonal average low of roughly 7–8°C. Model consensus points to overnight minima around 9–12°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, but divergence in precipitation timing and cloud thickness creates genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum. Official updates from monitoring agencies will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions