Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a September 15 high in Chongqing near 23–25°C, with 24°C holding the strongest market-implied probability amid widespread cloud cover and 70–90% rain chances. Persistent northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal system have increased moisture and suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime maxima several degrees below mid-September climatological averages of 28–30°C. Model runs show minor spread in peak timing and intensity tied to exact rainfall onset and wind speeds around 3–5 m/s, creating tight clustering between 22–25°C outcomes. Updated observations through late September 14 and overnight model guidance will further refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日重慶氣溫最高？
9月15日重慶氣溫最高？
24°C 26%
23°C 25%
22°C 21%
25°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
12%
22°C
21%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
12%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 26%
23°C 25%
22°C 21%
25°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
20°C或以下
$25 交易量
2%
21°C
$1,877 交易量
12%
22°C
$1,731 交易量
21%
23°C
$777 交易量
25%
24°C
$505 交易量
26%
25°C
$1,591 交易量
12%
26°C
$350 交易量
6%
27°C
$238 交易量
2%
28°C
$3 交易量
1%
29°C
$237 交易量
1%
30°C或以上
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a September 15 high in Chongqing near 23–25°C, with 24°C holding the strongest market-implied probability amid widespread cloud cover and 70–90% rain chances. Persistent northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal system have increased moisture and suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime maxima several degrees below mid-September climatological averages of 28–30°C. Model runs show minor spread in peak timing and intensity tied to exact rainfall onset and wind speeds around 3–5 m/s, creating tight clustering between 22–25°C outcomes. Updated observations through late September 14 and overnight model guidance will further refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
交易量
$7,446結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a September 15 high in Chongqing near 23–25°C, with 24°C holding the strongest market-implied probability amid widespread cloud cover and 70–90% rain chances. Persistent northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal system have increased moisture and suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime maxima several degrees below mid-September climatological averages of 28–30°C. Model runs show minor spread in peak timing and intensity tied to exact rainfall onset and wind speeds around 3–5 m/s, creating tight clustering between 22–25°C outcomes. Updated observations through late September 14 and overnight model guidance will further refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,446結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETRecent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a September 15 high in Chongqing near 23–25°C, with 24°C holding the strongest market-implied probability amid widespread cloud cover and 70–90% rain chances. Persistent northeasterly flow and an approaching frontal system have increased moisture and suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime maxima several degrees below mid-September climatological averages of 28–30°C. Model runs show minor spread in peak timing and intensity tied to exact rainfall onset and wind speeds around 3–5 m/s, creating tight clustering between 22–25°C outcomes. Updated observations through late September 14 and overnight model guidance will further refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions