Ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models currently favor overnight lows in the mid-70s across Austin, driven by a persistent warm, moist air mass from the Gulf of Mexico combined with light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. Clear to partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points are expected to keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, though subtle model disagreements on cloud cover and wind speed create the tight clustering around 74–77°F outcomes. Historical September baselines show typical minima near 70°F, with occasional cooler intrusions from weak fronts; traders appear to weigh the current pattern’s stability against potential forecast revisions in the next 12–24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日奧斯汀最低溫度？
9月16日奧斯汀最低溫度？
華氏88度或更高 90%
69°F或以下 74%
74-75°F 40%
78-79°F 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
69°F或以下
74%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85華氏度
39%
86-87°F
39%
華氏88度或更高
90%
華氏88度或更高 90%
69°F或以下 74%
74-75°F 40%
78-79°F 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
69°F或以下
$0 交易量
74%
70-71°F
$567 交易量
9%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
26%
74-75°F
$6 交易量
32%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
30%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
39%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
39%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
39%
84-85華氏度
$0 交易量
39%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
39%
華氏88度或更高
$0 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models currently favor overnight lows in the mid-70s across Austin, driven by a persistent warm, moist air mass from the Gulf of Mexico combined with light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. Clear to partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points are expected to keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, though subtle model disagreements on cloud cover and wind speed create the tight clustering around 74–77°F outcomes. Historical September baselines show typical minima near 70°F, with occasional cooler intrusions from weak fronts; traders appear to weigh the current pattern’s stability against potential forecast revisions in the next 12–24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$573結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models currently favor overnight lows in the mid-70s across Austin, driven by a persistent warm, moist air mass from the Gulf of Mexico combined with light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. Clear to partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points are expected to keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, though subtle model disagreements on cloud cover and wind speed create the tight clustering around 74–77°F outcomes. Historical September baselines show typical minima near 70°F, with occasional cooler intrusions from weak fronts; traders appear to weigh the current pattern’s stability against potential forecast revisions in the next 12–24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$573結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and NOAA models currently favor overnight lows in the mid-70s across Austin, driven by a persistent warm, moist air mass from the Gulf of Mexico combined with light southerly flow that limits radiative cooling. Clear to partly cloudy skies and elevated dew points are expected to keep minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, though subtle model disagreements on cloud cover and wind speed create the tight clustering around 74–77°F outcomes. Historical September baselines show typical minima near 70°F, with occasional cooler intrusions from weak fronts; traders appear to weigh the current pattern’s stability against potential forecast revisions in the next 12–24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions