Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 64°F early on September 16, 2026, under light rain and fog with an average temperature of 70°F, seven degrees above the 1991–2020 normal low of 57°F. This verified measurement from the primary reference station anchors the overwhelming 99.2% market-implied probability for the 64–65°F bin. Trader consensus aligns with the authoritative data release, reflecting minimal uncertainty once the observation period closed. Only an improbable revision to the official climatological summary or a shift to an alternate station reading could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this date and location.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日芝加哥的最低溫度？
9月16日芝加哥的最低溫度？
64-65°F 100.0%
華氏57度或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$598 交易量
$598 交易量
2026-09-16
華氏57度或以下
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
是
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或更高
否
64-65°F 100.0%
華氏57度或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$598 交易量
$598 交易量
2026-09-16
華氏57度或以下
$200 交易量
否
58-59°F
$0 交易量
否
60-61°F
$80 交易量
否
62-63°F
$40 交易量
否
64-65°F
$60 交易量
是
66-67°F
$40 交易量
否
68-69°F
$50 交易量
否
70-71°F
$16 交易量
否
72-73°F
$0 交易量
否
74-75°F
$0 交易量
否
76°F或更高
$111 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 64°F early on September 16, 2026, under light rain and fog with an average temperature of 70°F, seven degrees above the 1991–2020 normal low of 57°F. This verified measurement from the primary reference station anchors the overwhelming 99.2% market-implied probability for the 64–65°F bin. Trader consensus aligns with the authoritative data release, reflecting minimal uncertainty once the observation period closed. Only an improbable revision to the official climatological summary or a shift to an alternate station reading could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this date and location.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$598結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 64°F early on September 16, 2026, under light rain and fog with an average temperature of 70°F, seven degrees above the 1991–2020 normal low of 57°F. This verified measurement from the primary reference station anchors the overwhelming 99.2% market-implied probability for the 64–65°F bin. Trader consensus aligns with the authoritative data release, reflecting minimal uncertainty once the observation period closed. Only an improbable revision to the official climatological summary or a shift to an alternate station reading could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this date and location.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$598結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O’Hare International Airport recorded a daily minimum of 64°F early on September 16, 2026, under light rain and fog with an average temperature of 70°F, seven degrees above the 1991–2020 normal low of 57°F. This verified measurement from the primary reference station anchors the overwhelming 99.2% market-implied probability for the 64–65°F bin. Trader consensus aligns with the authoritative data release, reflecting minimal uncertainty once the observation period closed. Only an improbable revision to the official climatological summary or a shift to an alternate station reading could alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this date and location.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions