Official meteorological data from Miami-area stations confirmed a daily minimum temperature in the 78-79°F range on September 16, driving the market's 99% implied probability for that bin. Late-summer conditions featuring elevated humidity, light winds, and the absence of significant cold fronts or tropical moisture typically limit overnight radiative cooling in South Florida, producing lows consistent with long-term September climatology near 76-80°F. National Weather Service observations aligned closely with pre-event model consensus, leaving little room for deviation. Only an unusual measurement anomaly, station-specific microclimate effect, or revised official report could have shifted the outcome, though none occurred.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日邁阿密的最低溫度？
9月16日邁阿密的最低溫度？
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$7,639 交易量
$7,639 交易量
2026-09-16
71°F或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80-81華氏度
否
82-83華氏度
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
華氏90度或以上
否
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$7,639 交易量
$7,639 交易量
2026-09-16
71°F或以下
$61 交易量
否
72-73°F
$73 交易量
否
74-75°F
$272 交易量
否
76-77°F
$636 交易量
否
78-79°F
$1,342 交易量
是
80-81華氏度
$1,979 交易量
否
82-83華氏度
$275 交易量
否
84-85°F
$208 交易量
否
86-87°F
$1,023 交易量
否
88-89°F
$847 交易量
否
華氏90度或以上
$923 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological data from Miami-area stations confirmed a daily minimum temperature in the 78-79°F range on September 16, driving the market's 99% implied probability for that bin. Late-summer conditions featuring elevated humidity, light winds, and the absence of significant cold fronts or tropical moisture typically limit overnight radiative cooling in South Florida, producing lows consistent with long-term September climatology near 76-80°F. National Weather Service observations aligned closely with pre-event model consensus, leaving little room for deviation. Only an unusual measurement anomaly, station-specific microclimate effect, or revised official report could have shifted the outcome, though none occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$7,639結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological data from Miami-area stations confirmed a daily minimum temperature in the 78-79°F range on September 16, driving the market's 99% implied probability for that bin. Late-summer conditions featuring elevated humidity, light winds, and the absence of significant cold fronts or tropical moisture typically limit overnight radiative cooling in South Florida, producing lows consistent with long-term September climatology near 76-80°F. National Weather Service observations aligned closely with pre-event model consensus, leaving little room for deviation. Only an unusual measurement anomaly, station-specific microclimate effect, or revised official report could have shifted the outcome, though none occurred.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,639結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological data from Miami-area stations confirmed a daily minimum temperature in the 78-79°F range on September 16, driving the market's 99% implied probability for that bin. Late-summer conditions featuring elevated humidity, light winds, and the absence of significant cold fronts or tropical moisture typically limit overnight radiative cooling in South Florida, producing lows consistent with long-term September climatology near 76-80°F. National Weather Service observations aligned closely with pre-event model consensus, leaving little room for deviation. Only an unusual measurement anomaly, station-specific microclimate effect, or revised official report could have shifted the outcome, though none occurred.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions