Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts show northwest flow and clearing skies behind Sunday's heavy rain and thunderstorms will produce sunny conditions with highs of 75–77°F across New York City on September 14, directly supporting the market's 76–77°F bin as the clear leader. Lower humidity and breezy northwest winds around 10–12 mph will limit afternoon warming compared with the prior day's more humid southerly flow, while typical September climatology for the region centers near 75°F. Minor model spread around the exact peak keeps secondary probability on the 78–79°F range, but current guidance shows little support for readings reaching 80°F or falling below 74°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月14日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月14日的最高溫度？
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 22%
78-79°F 19%
72-73華氏度 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67華氏度
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73華氏度
5%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
55%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84華氏度或更高
1%
76-77°F 55%
74-75°F 22%
78-79°F 19%
72-73華氏度 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
65°F或以下
$246 交易量
<1%
66-67華氏度
$228 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$45 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$174 交易量
2%
72-73華氏度
$513 交易量
5%
74-75°F
$1,753 交易量
22%
76-77°F
$1,396 交易量
55%
78-79°F
$2,937 交易量
19%
80-81°F
$301 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$470 交易量
1%
84華氏度或更高
$238 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts show northwest flow and clearing skies behind Sunday's heavy rain and thunderstorms will produce sunny conditions with highs of 75–77°F across New York City on September 14, directly supporting the market's 76–77°F bin as the clear leader. Lower humidity and breezy northwest winds around 10–12 mph will limit afternoon warming compared with the prior day's more humid southerly flow, while typical September climatology for the region centers near 75°F. Minor model spread around the exact peak keeps secondary probability on the 78–79°F range, but current guidance shows little support for readings reaching 80°F or falling below 74°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$8,301結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts show northwest flow and clearing skies behind Sunday's heavy rain and thunderstorms will produce sunny conditions with highs of 75–77°F across New York City on September 14, directly supporting the market's 76–77°F bin as the clear leader. Lower humidity and breezy northwest winds around 10–12 mph will limit afternoon warming compared with the prior day's more humid southerly flow, while typical September climatology for the region centers near 75°F. Minor model spread around the exact peak keeps secondary probability on the 78–79°F range, but current guidance shows little support for readings reaching 80°F or falling below 74°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,301結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts show northwest flow and clearing skies behind Sunday's heavy rain and thunderstorms will produce sunny conditions with highs of 75–77°F across New York City on September 14, directly supporting the market's 76–77°F bin as the clear leader. Lower humidity and breezy northwest winds around 10–12 mph will limit afternoon warming compared with the prior day's more humid southerly flow, while typical September climatology for the region centers near 75°F. Minor model spread around the exact peak keeps secondary probability on the 78–79°F range, but current guidance shows little support for readings reaching 80°F or falling below 74°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions