Trader consensus on a 16°C high for Wellington on September 13 reflects real-time meteorological observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures reaching exactly that level during afternoon hours. Southerly to southwesterly flow, combined with partly cloudy conditions and light winds, limited daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or warming anomalies. Official forecasts from sources such as MetService-aligned models and international ensembles consistently projected maxima near 15–17°C, aligning with the market-implied outcome. A shift in wind direction to stronger northerlies or unexpected cloud cover clearing earlier could have pushed readings higher, but current data and verification trends locked in the 16°C threshold with minimal uncertainty remaining.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
9月13日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
16°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$59,123 交易量
$59,123 交易量
2026-09-13
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或以上
否
16°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$59,123 交易量
$59,123 交易量
2026-09-13
10°C或以下
$704 交易量
否
11°C
$284 交易量
否
12°C
$691 交易量
否
13°C
$4,758 交易量
否
14°C
$11,383 交易量
否
15°C
$13,268 交易量
否
16°C
$11,603 交易量
是
17°C
$3,937 交易量
否
18°C
$2,355 交易量
否
19°C
$2,989 交易量
否
20°C或以上
$7,151 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 16°C high for Wellington on September 13 reflects real-time meteorological observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures reaching exactly that level during afternoon hours. Southerly to southwesterly flow, combined with partly cloudy conditions and light winds, limited daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or warming anomalies. Official forecasts from sources such as MetService-aligned models and international ensembles consistently projected maxima near 15–17°C, aligning with the market-implied outcome. A shift in wind direction to stronger northerlies or unexpected cloud cover clearing earlier could have pushed readings higher, but current data and verification trends locked in the 16°C threshold with minimal uncertainty remaining.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$59,123結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 16°C high for Wellington on September 13 reflects real-time meteorological observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures reaching exactly that level during afternoon hours. Southerly to southwesterly flow, combined with partly cloudy conditions and light winds, limited daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or warming anomalies. Official forecasts from sources such as MetService-aligned models and international ensembles consistently projected maxima near 15–17°C, aligning with the market-implied outcome. A shift in wind direction to stronger northerlies or unexpected cloud cover clearing earlier could have pushed readings higher, but current data and verification trends locked in the 16°C threshold with minimal uncertainty remaining.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$59,123結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on a 16°C high for Wellington on September 13 reflects real-time meteorological observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures reaching exactly that level during afternoon hours. Southerly to southwesterly flow, combined with partly cloudy conditions and light winds, limited daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or warming anomalies. Official forecasts from sources such as MetService-aligned models and international ensembles consistently projected maxima near 15–17°C, aligning with the market-implied outcome. A shift in wind direction to stronger northerlies or unexpected cloud cover clearing earlier could have pushed readings higher, but current data and verification trends locked in the 16°C threshold with minimal uncertainty remaining.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions