Current forecasts from MetService and multiple models indicate Wellington's minimum air temperature on September 16 will settle near 11–12°C overnight under a moderate northerly flow, with partly cloudy skies and isolated showers limiting radiative cooling. Stronger winds and higher dew points around 10°C have kept readings from dropping further, aligning with historical September averages of 9–10°C while current observations hover at 12–13°C. The tight 11–12°C market split reflects minor model differences in wind gust timing and any brief shower cooling, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded by 9 a.m. NZST.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
9月16日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
12°C 99.5%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
$3,191 交易量
$3,191 交易量
2026-09-16
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
12°C 99.5%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
$3,191 交易量
$3,191 交易量
2026-09-16
7°C或以下
$16 交易量
否
8°C
$48 交易量
否
9°C
$16 交易量
否
10°C
$74 交易量
否
11°C
$84 交易量
否
12°C
$466 交易量
是
13°C
$2,395 交易量
否
14°C
$0 交易量
否
15°C
$16 交易量
否
16°C
$76 交易量
否
17°C或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and multiple models indicate Wellington's minimum air temperature on September 16 will settle near 11–12°C overnight under a moderate northerly flow, with partly cloudy skies and isolated showers limiting radiative cooling. Stronger winds and higher dew points around 10°C have kept readings from dropping further, aligning with historical September averages of 9–10°C while current observations hover at 12–13°C. The tight 11–12°C market split reflects minor model differences in wind gust timing and any brief shower cooling, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded by 9 a.m. NZST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,191結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and multiple models indicate Wellington's minimum air temperature on September 16 will settle near 11–12°C overnight under a moderate northerly flow, with partly cloudy skies and isolated showers limiting radiative cooling. Stronger winds and higher dew points around 10°C have kept readings from dropping further, aligning with historical September averages of 9–10°C while current observations hover at 12–13°C. The tight 11–12°C market split reflects minor model differences in wind gust timing and any brief shower cooling, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded by 9 a.m. NZST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,191結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from MetService and multiple models indicate Wellington's minimum air temperature on September 16 will settle near 11–12°C overnight under a moderate northerly flow, with partly cloudy skies and isolated showers limiting radiative cooling. Stronger winds and higher dew points around 10°C have kept readings from dropping further, aligning with historical September averages of 9–10°C while current observations hover at 12–13°C. The tight 11–12°C market split reflects minor model differences in wind gust timing and any brief shower cooling, with resolution hinging on the official overnight low recorded by 9 a.m. NZST.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions