Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light northerly winds, anchoring the minimum temperature near 8–9 °C. Moderate wind speeds and residual moisture from today’s showers limit further drops, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds could allow readings to reach 7 °C. These conditions align closely with September climatology, where Wellington’s average low is approximately 9–10 °C. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 8 °C and 9 °C most heavily because model guidance shows only modest run-to-run variability and no strong cold-air advection is expected before dawn on the 18th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
9月18日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
9°C 31%
8°C 28%
7°C 22%
5°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
4°C或以下
2%
5°C
19%
6°C
19%
7°C
22%
8°C
28%
9°C
31%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C或以上
<1%
9°C 31%
8°C 28%
7°C 22%
5°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
4°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
5°C
$0 交易量
19%
6°C
$30 交易量
19%
7°C
$0 交易量
22%
8°C
$0 交易量
28%
9°C
$0 交易量
31%
10°C
$30 交易量
<1%
11°C
$10 交易量
<1%
12°C
$0 交易量
<1%
13°C
$0 交易量
<1%
14°C或以上
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light northerly winds, anchoring the minimum temperature near 8–9 °C. Moderate wind speeds and residual moisture from today’s showers limit further drops, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds could allow readings to reach 7 °C. These conditions align closely with September climatology, where Wellington’s average low is approximately 9–10 °C. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 8 °C and 9 °C most heavily because model guidance shows only modest run-to-run variability and no strong cold-air advection is expected before dawn on the 18th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$85結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light northerly winds, anchoring the minimum temperature near 8–9 °C. Moderate wind speeds and residual moisture from today’s showers limit further drops, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds could allow readings to reach 7 °C. These conditions align closely with September climatology, where Wellington’s average low is approximately 9–10 °C. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 8 °C and 9 °C most heavily because model guidance shows only modest run-to-run variability and no strong cold-air advection is expected before dawn on the 18th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$85結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to overnight radiative cooling under partly clear skies and light northerly winds, anchoring the minimum temperature near 8–9 °C. Moderate wind speeds and residual moisture from today’s showers limit further drops, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds could allow readings to reach 7 °C. These conditions align closely with September climatology, where Wellington’s average low is approximately 9–10 °C. Traders are weighting the tight spread between 8 °C and 9 °C most heavily because model guidance shows only modest run-to-run variability and no strong cold-air advection is expected before dawn on the 18th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions