Recent official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Wellington on September 19, 2026, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies overnight under partly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. Daytime highs reached 14–15°C amid 15–25 km/h winds, while overnight dew points near 9°C and humidity around 70–80% support a low in the 7–9°C range, aligning with climatological September minima. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss has emerged to shift odds toward lower thresholds, leaving 8°C as the dominant market-implied outcome based on real-time model consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
9月19日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,349 交易量
$1,349 交易量
2026-09-19
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
是
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或以上
否
8°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,349 交易量
$1,349 交易量
2026-09-19
4°C或以下
$41 交易量
否
5°C
$31 交易量
否
6°C
$31 交易量
否
7°C
$51 交易量
否
8°C
$197 交易量
是
9°C
$684 交易量
否
10°C
$0 交易量
否
11°C
$0 交易量
否
12°C
$0 交易量
否
13°C
$257 交易量
否
14°C或以上
$57 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Wellington on September 19, 2026, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies overnight under partly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. Daytime highs reached 14–15°C amid 15–25 km/h winds, while overnight dew points near 9°C and humidity around 70–80% support a low in the 7–9°C range, aligning with climatological September minima. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss has emerged to shift odds toward lower thresholds, leaving 8°C as the dominant market-implied outcome based on real-time model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,349結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Wellington on September 19, 2026, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies overnight under partly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. Daytime highs reached 14–15°C amid 15–25 km/h winds, while overnight dew points near 9°C and humidity around 70–80% support a low in the 7–9°C range, aligning with climatological September minima. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss has emerged to shift odds toward lower thresholds, leaving 8°C as the dominant market-implied outcome based on real-time model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,349結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent official forecasts from MetService and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 8°C for Wellington on September 19, 2026, driven by moderate northwesterly flow transitioning to southerlies overnight under partly cloudy skies with limited radiational cooling. Daytime highs reached 14–15°C amid 15–25 km/h winds, while overnight dew points near 9°C and humidity around 70–80% support a low in the 7–9°C range, aligning with climatological September minima. No significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative loss has emerged to shift odds toward lower thresholds, leaving 8°C as the dominant market-implied outcome based on real-time model consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions