Traders assign near-certain implied probability to a 34°C high in Guangzhou on September 13 due to real-time meteorological observations and short-range model runs from Chinese weather services indicating that peak afternoon temperatures, measured at standard urban stations, reached or stabilized at this threshold under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Typical September climatology features average highs near 32°C, yet localized urban heat effects and reduced rainfall timing allowed the mercury to climb one to two degrees above ensemble means without breaching the next integer bin. Heavy evening convection or a slight shift in steering winds could still cap readings lower, though current surface data and dew-point trends make such revisions unlikely before midnight resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日廣州最高溫度？
9月13日廣州最高溫度？
34°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$82,694 交易量
$82,694 交易量
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
34°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$82,694 交易量
$82,694 交易量
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
$103 交易量
否
27°C
$3,185 交易量
否
28°C
$2,865 交易量
否
29°C
$4,124 交易量
否
30°C
$7,244 交易量
否
31°C
$9,585 交易量
否
32°C
$25,052 交易量
否
33°C
$6,242 交易量
否
34°C
$13,921 交易量
是
35°C
$8,543 交易量
否
36°C或以上
$1,829 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certain implied probability to a 34°C high in Guangzhou on September 13 due to real-time meteorological observations and short-range model runs from Chinese weather services indicating that peak afternoon temperatures, measured at standard urban stations, reached or stabilized at this threshold under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Typical September climatology features average highs near 32°C, yet localized urban heat effects and reduced rainfall timing allowed the mercury to climb one to two degrees above ensemble means without breaching the next integer bin. Heavy evening convection or a slight shift in steering winds could still cap readings lower, though current surface data and dew-point trends make such revisions unlikely before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$82,694結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certain implied probability to a 34°C high in Guangzhou on September 13 due to real-time meteorological observations and short-range model runs from Chinese weather services indicating that peak afternoon temperatures, measured at standard urban stations, reached or stabilized at this threshold under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Typical September climatology features average highs near 32°C, yet localized urban heat effects and reduced rainfall timing allowed the mercury to climb one to two degrees above ensemble means without breaching the next integer bin. Heavy evening convection or a slight shift in steering winds could still cap readings lower, though current surface data and dew-point trends make such revisions unlikely before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$82,694結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders assign near-certain implied probability to a 34°C high in Guangzhou on September 13 due to real-time meteorological observations and short-range model runs from Chinese weather services indicating that peak afternoon temperatures, measured at standard urban stations, reached or stabilized at this threshold under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Typical September climatology features average highs near 32°C, yet localized urban heat effects and reduced rainfall timing allowed the mercury to climb one to two degrees above ensemble means without breaching the next integer bin. Heavy evening convection or a slight shift in steering winds could still cap readings lower, though current surface data and dew-point trends make such revisions unlikely before midnight resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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