Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS guidance, show Beijing under clear skies and northerly flow on September 13, favoring a daily high near 30–31°C with low humidity and minimal cloud cover. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 31°C leading as most ensemble members cluster around that peak under stable high pressure. Minor variations in timing of the warmest hour or slight model spread account for the secondary probability on 30°C. Dry conditions and seasonal September baselines reinforce the outlook, with official observations from the China Meteorological Administration expected to resolve the market without major forecast shifts anticipated overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日北京最高溫度？
9月13日北京最高溫度？
31°C 49%
30°C 32%
29°C 12%
32°C 10%
最新
$17,762 交易量
最新
$17,762 交易量
2026-09-13
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
32%
31°C
49%
32°C
10%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
31°C 49%
30°C 32%
29°C 12%
32°C 10%
最新
$17,762 交易量
最新
$17,762 交易量
2026-09-13
24°C或以下
$73 交易量
<1%
25°C
$339 交易量
<1%
26°C
$355 交易量
<1%
27°C
$566 交易量
<1%
28°C
$990 交易量
2%
29°C
$2,604 交易量
12%
30°C
$2,485 交易量
32%
31°C
$6,798 交易量
49%
32°C
$2,671 交易量
10%
33°C
$763 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$118 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS guidance, show Beijing under clear skies and northerly flow on September 13, favoring a daily high near 30–31°C with low humidity and minimal cloud cover. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 31°C leading as most ensemble members cluster around that peak under stable high pressure. Minor variations in timing of the warmest hour or slight model spread account for the secondary probability on 30°C. Dry conditions and seasonal September baselines reinforce the outlook, with official observations from the China Meteorological Administration expected to resolve the market without major forecast shifts anticipated overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$17,762結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS guidance, show Beijing under clear skies and northerly flow on September 13, favoring a daily high near 30–31°C with low humidity and minimal cloud cover. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 31°C leading as most ensemble members cluster around that peak under stable high pressure. Minor variations in timing of the warmest hour or slight model spread account for the secondary probability on 30°C. Dry conditions and seasonal September baselines reinforce the outlook, with official observations from the China Meteorological Administration expected to resolve the market without major forecast shifts anticipated overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,762結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS guidance, show Beijing under clear skies and northerly flow on September 13, favoring a daily high near 30–31°C with low humidity and minimal cloud cover. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 31°C leading as most ensemble members cluster around that peak under stable high pressure. Minor variations in timing of the warmest hour or slight model spread account for the secondary probability on 30°C. Dry conditions and seasonal September baselines reinforce the outlook, with official observations from the China Meteorological Administration expected to resolve the market without major forecast shifts anticipated overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions