Trader consensus at 100% for a 22°C high on September 12, 2026, in Amsterdam reflects official station observations from Schiphol, where afternoon temperatures reached a peak near 21.9–22°C under southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with GFS model guidance and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.5°C by roughly 2–3°C, driven by mild advection rather than extreme heat. Measurement protocols from agencies like KNMI emphasize precise daily maxima, supporting the market-implied outcome. A realistic challenge would require post-analysis revisions from alternative stations or calibration adjustments, though historical data consistency makes significant shifts improbable as resolution approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月12日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
22°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,277 交易量
$37,277 交易量
2026-09-12
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
攝氏25度或以上
否
22°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,277 交易量
$37,277 交易量
2026-09-12
15°C或以下
$93 交易量
否
16°C
$99 交易量
否
17°C
$102 交易量
否
18°C
$221 交易量
否
19°C
$1,227 交易量
否
20°C
$6,169 交易量
否
21°C
$8,295 交易量
否
22°C
$11,740 交易量
是
23°C
$5,304 交易量
否
24°C
$2,780 交易量
否
攝氏25度或以上
$1,246 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 22°C high on September 12, 2026, in Amsterdam reflects official station observations from Schiphol, where afternoon temperatures reached a peak near 21.9–22°C under southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with GFS model guidance and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.5°C by roughly 2–3°C, driven by mild advection rather than extreme heat. Measurement protocols from agencies like KNMI emphasize precise daily maxima, supporting the market-implied outcome. A realistic challenge would require post-analysis revisions from alternative stations or calibration adjustments, though historical data consistency makes significant shifts improbable as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$37,277結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 22°C high on September 12, 2026, in Amsterdam reflects official station observations from Schiphol, where afternoon temperatures reached a peak near 21.9–22°C under southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with GFS model guidance and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.5°C by roughly 2–3°C, driven by mild advection rather than extreme heat. Measurement protocols from agencies like KNMI emphasize precise daily maxima, supporting the market-implied outcome. A realistic challenge would require post-analysis revisions from alternative stations or calibration adjustments, though historical data consistency makes significant shifts improbable as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,277結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus at 100% for a 22°C high on September 12, 2026, in Amsterdam reflects official station observations from Schiphol, where afternoon temperatures reached a peak near 21.9–22°C under southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with GFS model guidance and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.5°C by roughly 2–3°C, driven by mild advection rather than extreme heat. Measurement protocols from agencies like KNMI emphasize precise daily maxima, supporting the market-implied outcome. A realistic challenge would require post-analysis revisions from alternative stations or calibration adjustments, though historical data consistency makes significant shifts improbable as resolution approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions