Official meteorological records from Mexico City on September 14 confirm a daily maximum of 24°C, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features highs of 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with minimal influence from tropical moisture or frontal systems at this latitude and elevation. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from seasonal baselines, reinforcing trader consensus. Resolution hinges on verified data from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, where small revisions in reporting could theoretically alter thresholds but remain unlikely given the tight clustering around observed values.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
9月14日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
24°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$23,358 交易量
$23,358 交易量
2026-09-14
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
24°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$23,358 交易量
$23,358 交易量
2026-09-14
16°C或以下
$137 交易量
否
17°C
$137 交易量
否
18°C
$137 交易量
否
19°C
$137 交易量
否
20°C
$203 交易量
否
21°C
$827 交易量
否
22°C
$1,664 交易量
否
23°C
$4,551 交易量
否
24°C
$10,352 交易量
是
25°C
$3,528 交易量
否
26°C或更高
$1,685 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from Mexico City on September 14 confirm a daily maximum of 24°C, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features highs of 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with minimal influence from tropical moisture or frontal systems at this latitude and elevation. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from seasonal baselines, reinforcing trader consensus. Resolution hinges on verified data from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, where small revisions in reporting could theoretically alter thresholds but remain unlikely given the tight clustering around observed values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$23,358結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from Mexico City on September 14 confirm a daily maximum of 24°C, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features highs of 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with minimal influence from tropical moisture or frontal systems at this latitude and elevation. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from seasonal baselines, reinforcing trader consensus. Resolution hinges on verified data from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, where small revisions in reporting could theoretically alter thresholds but remain unlikely given the tight clustering around observed values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,358結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological records from Mexico City on September 14 confirm a daily maximum of 24°C, aligning with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features highs of 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with minimal influence from tropical moisture or frontal systems at this latitude and elevation. Recent model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from seasonal baselines, reinforcing trader consensus. Resolution hinges on verified data from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, where small revisions in reporting could theoretically alter thresholds but remain unlikely given the tight clustering around observed values.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions