The market's near-certain pricing on a 26°C high reflects official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local authorities, which projected a daytime maximum of 26°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and isolated light rain potential in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and high solar angles. Official station measurements, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, confirmed the peak fell squarely at this threshold, leaving scant uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-afternoon spike or station-specific microclimate deviation could have altered resolution, scenarios forecasters deemed highly improbable given consistent model runs and observed conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城9月16日的最高溫度？
墨西哥城9月16日的最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,141 交易量
$31,141 交易量
2026-09-16
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,141 交易量
$31,141 交易量
2026-09-16
17°C或以下
$538 交易量
否
18°C
$363 交易量
否
19°C
$363 交易量
否
20°C
$363 交易量
否
21°C
$245 交易量
否
22°C
$303 交易量
否
23°C
$518 交易量
否
24°C
$3,572 交易量
否
25°C
$9,103 交易量
否
26°C
$11,941 交易量
是
27°C或以上
$3,833 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on a 26°C high reflects official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local authorities, which projected a daytime maximum of 26°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and isolated light rain potential in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and high solar angles. Official station measurements, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, confirmed the peak fell squarely at this threshold, leaving scant uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-afternoon spike or station-specific microclimate deviation could have altered resolution, scenarios forecasters deemed highly improbable given consistent model runs and observed conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$31,141結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on a 26°C high reflects official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local authorities, which projected a daytime maximum of 26°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and isolated light rain potential in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and high solar angles. Official station measurements, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, confirmed the peak fell squarely at this threshold, leaving scant uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-afternoon spike or station-specific microclimate deviation could have altered resolution, scenarios forecasters deemed highly improbable given consistent model runs and observed conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,141結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market's near-certain pricing on a 26°C high reflects official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local authorities, which projected a daytime maximum of 26°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and isolated light rain potential in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and high solar angles. Official station measurements, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, confirmed the peak fell squarely at this threshold, leaving scant uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-afternoon spike or station-specific microclimate deviation could have altered resolution, scenarios forecasters deemed highly improbable given consistent model runs and observed conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions